Tough Day

November 26th, 2012 at 12:06 am by under Sports 18

Sunday, November 25

A number of Purdue fans got their wish Sunday when Boilermaker Athletic Director Morgan Burke fired Danny Hope as the Boilers head football coach. And in my six years here I’ve learned that Boiler fans are passionate but they’re not mean-spirited. A number of those same fans feel bad for the now-former Boiler head coach.

I can tell you from working with Danny, he’s a good guy. As I’ve blogged before, I really like him. I also like his wife, Sally. I’ve dealt with Mrs. Hope and had numerous enjoyable conversations with her. None of us can put into words how hard this has been on her and her husband, as well as their son, Chaz. Danny was always respectful toward me. Always gave me the time of day. Cordial on the record with me and absolutely delightful and most interesting off the record.

I wish Coach Hope would have shown the public his personality that he showed to me in private settings. I know why he’s a good recruiter because he relates well with all kinds of people. He’s a great guy, a good father, a terrific husband, and his players love him. They played HARD for him against IU, knowing more than likely it was his last game.

I’ll always wonder if Hope showed more of his energetic personality in public settings if it would have gotten more fans to come to Ross-Ade Stadium. Maybe. Maybe not. A lack of consistent success is the main reason Burke decided to let Hope go, but Burke acknowledged during a Sunday evening news conference that poor attendance was also a major factor. A number of fans showed that they hadn’t warmed to Hope by not attending games.

Firing a college football coach at a major university is tough on a number of people. It’s not a pleasant story to cover, it’s hard on the entire athletic department—-including Burke, and it’s very difficult on coaches and their respective families. And it’s hard on Boilermaker fans. Like I said, Gold and Black fans are passionate. And they’re very smart fans. But the majority of them aren’t mean-spirited. And that’s why it’s tough day for all that are involved with and follow Purdue Football.

Blog to you soon,

Mike


Thoughts After Viewing Latest Data & Re-Expansion of Midwestern Drought with One of the Driest Novembers On Record

November 25th, 2012 at 8:44 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

With good confidence in forecast, 30s are likely for highs tomorrow-Tuesday & 40 Wednesday & 42 Thursday.  Some rain/snow showers are possible late Friday-Friday night, followed by rainfall potential later Saturday-early Sunday with a brief warm-up to 50s, then colder.

This has been one of the driest Novembers on record at West Lafayette with just 0.72″ as of right now.  Drought is re-expanding across the central & eastern Corn Belt & the drought has remained very bad & unchanged across the Plains & western Corn Belt to northwestern Illinois since summer.  The Mississippi River may be closed to barge traffic soon due to record-low November levels St. Louis to Cairo, a significant economic blow to that region.

In the viewing area, northern fringe of the viewing area was abnormally dry as of November 20, but the rest of the area was officially out of any drought.

In terms of the rest of the forecast, still like colder & snow possible near 10th.


Outlook to December 10

November 24th, 2012 at 10:59 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Winds have gone to the south & mid-level cloud deck is overspreading area, so I am doubtful we will get any colder than the current temperature of 24 degrees (after a high today of only 31!).  I still feel good about 45-50 tomorrow, given the strength of the warm air push into the area.

Data is very consistent preventing any merger of northern (polar) jet disturbance & southern (subtropical jet) disturbance & deep Pacific moisture.  This said, I am close to removing any mention of precip for Monday evening-Tuesday.

A nice chunk of cold air will rush in & bring a few days of highs in the 30s after this, though.

There is still a nice & increasingly widespread & consistent signal of this push of 50s after this cold wave next week.  However, down the road, it sure looks like another cold wave with the first accumulating snow near December 10.


Latest On Monday-Tuesday Forecast……..Thoughts On Next Week & Weekend

November 24th, 2012 at 2:52 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Our next system, Monday-Tuesday, was largely based on a disturbance in the polar jet & a disturbance with nice, deep moisture from the tropical Pacific merging west of us.  This looked to bring showers late Monday-Tuesday, ending as flurries.

New data sampling of both systems, as they move out of the Pacific & the other out of Mexico, is now showing that the split flow may really cut back on any rainfall here.

The northern disturbance & southern wave are looking more & more to remain separate, greatly decreasing any rainfall amounts here.

That said, we will watch this, but I am cutting back pops Monday evening-night to Tuesday to 30%, given this new, consistent trending.

Also, models are having a hard time with temperature.  As of 3:05 p.m., it is still just 30 degrees on the WLFI thermometer, so data has not handle the temperature well today.  That said, model analysis consistently has 48 degrees for a high tomorrow.  I will stick with 47, as warm air moving in looks pretty potent & will stick with 40s Monday.  New data will be monitored this evening to see if this trend of lowering temperatures needs to be done for Sunday-Monday.

I still like 30s for mid-late next week, but some new trends point towards a nice warm-up after rain/snow Friday.  With consistent data pointing towards cold early December with negative NAO/AO, I am reluctant to put much stock in the new GFS run of 50s by next weekned.  That just seems like a flip-flop & radical switch after this consistent coolness projected.  I actually still prefer to think that our first snow would be in line for near December 10 & will continue to stick with that per analog data.


Windy Day with Stratus/Stratocumulus & Falling Temperatures………….Outlook For the Weekend-Next Week

November 23rd, 2012 at 4:11 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Stubborn stratus/stratocumulus is hanging on area-wide with occasional holes in it for brief bursts of sun.  Thinking these clouds will gradually break up overnight, but it will likely not go totally clear.

Winds have been strong all day with gusts as high as 46 mph, while the temperatures have been falling since this morning.  We just dropped to 32 at WLFI & will drop to a low in the lower to middle 20s area-wide tonight.  The coldest readings will most likely be in our southwestern counties where the greateast break-up of the cloudiness will occur.  With this, there will still be a brisk breeze from the northwest, which will drop windchills to as low as 10.

It looks cold, cold for tailgaters & spectators of the Old Oaken Bucket games between IU & Purdue at Rose-Ade.

Cirrus may be on the increase Sunday, but it will be warmer.  Winds will be southwest at 10-20 mph with highs of 43-49.

 

Next system will arrive Monday evening-night with showers.  Showers will last periodically into Tuesday.  As temperatures fall, the rain may end as flurries Tuesday.  After this, highs will remain in the 30s for several days.

Some models still want to paint some accumulating snowfall around here, but I not jumping onto that bandwagon, yet.  We will watch, but I feel, right now, that early part of December has the better potential of accumulating snowfall around here.


Chunk of Stratus/Stratocumulus Pivoting Through

November 23rd, 2012 at 10:09 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Chunk of stratus/stratocumulus has pivoted in across the viewing area earlier this morning.  This will tend to pivot on through, followed by some sun this afternoon.  Tonight-tomorrow there will tend to be at least broken/scattered stratocumulus in our northeastern areas, with more stars/sun as you move southeast.  A few lake effect flurries will be possible Rochester to Mexico tonight-Saturday.

Winds are strong today with gusts as high as 37 mph in the viewing area.

Temperatures will be chilly in the 30s & 40s today.


The Next Storm System……..

November 22nd, 2012 at 10:26 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Our next storm will overspread rainfall (perhaps a rumble of thunder) into the area Monday evening-night to Tuesday.  The rainfall may end as some snow flurries as temperatures fall Tuesday afternoon after accumulating snow falls from Iowa to far northern Illinois & southern Wisconsin.  Some data suggests accumulating snow for the area with a more southerly track, but I am not warming up to that just yet.  We will watch, but for now, I feel more confident with this track of rainfall for the area, then ending as flurries.

The coldest air of the season will work in behind the system with highs only in the lower to middle 30s to end next week & move into early December.

This cold air will lay the foundation for the potential of some accumulating snow in the first part of December.

 

 


Scattered Showers & Even Couple T’Storms with Cold Front Tonight

November 22nd, 2012 at 4:10 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Pretty strong cold front will cross through area tonight with a band of scattered & even a couple of embedded t’storms.

Some cloud-to-ground lightning strikes have already been noted in western & northern Illinois with front.


Happy Thanksgiving! Past Thanksgiving Weather

November 22nd, 2012 at 9:48 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

I hope all of you have a wonderful Thanksgiving.  Thank you all for your valuable reports, comments & pics throughout the year!  It does not go unnoticed & it is great to have you all here on the blog!  You are as much apart of this weather team as Cameron & Jessie & me.  Thank you again!

WEST LAFAYETTE (1887-2011)

HIGHEST THANKSGIVING HIGH TEMPERATURE:  71 – 1900

HIGHEST THANKSGIVING LOW TEMPERATURE:  56 – 1896

HIGHEST AVERAGE TEMPERATURE:  61.5 (High 67  Low 56) – 1896

LOWEST THANKSGIVING HIGH TEMPERATURE:  15 – 1930

LOWEST THANKSGIVING LOW TEMPERATURE:  0 – 1930

GREATEST DAILY TEMPERATURE CHANGE:  34 degrees – 1900 (High 71  Low 37)

MOST DAILY RAINFALL:  1.14″ – 1968 (2nd:  0.83″ – 2010)

MOST SNOWFALL:  3″ – 1975

MOST SNOW COVER:  3″ – 1975

LEAST TEMPERATURE MOVEMENT FOR THE DAY:  4 degrees – 1975 (High 34   Low 30)

MOST ICE ON THANKSGIVING:  0.04″ Freezing Rain – 1894  (High 31  Low 19)

Remembering the Great Thanksgiving 1950 Storm (38 Thanksgiving to below 0 day after Thanksgiving at West Lafayette!)

Deemed “Storm of the Century” at the Time:  Record Warmth, Record Arctic Outbreak, Blizzard, Hurricane Winds, Flooding & Storm Surge………

The great November 1950 superstorm was unprecedented in its wind, surface pressure, snow & Arctic outbreak.  353 people were killed in the storm.

Granted the great Thanksgiving 1950 storm was not a hurricane hybrid, it was still extreme with RECORD WARMTH on its east & northeast side & RECORD COLD on its west & south sides.  At one point of the storm, 50s & 60s were widespread across New England, but it was below-zero in northern Georgia & Tennessee with 20s well into Florida.

Damage was tremendous from the Midwest to New England & Mid-Atlantic.

Newark, New Jersey gusted to 108 mph!  New York City gusted to 94 mph, while the runways of La Guardia Airport were submerged in water from the extreme storm surge.  The storm surge flooded lower Manhattan, while winds reached 110 mph in New Hampshire & 10o mph in Vermont.  Albany, New York gusted to 83 mph with gust to 105 mph in Connecticut.  Wind gusts of 160 mph were recorded in the high elevations of New Hampshire.  Forest damage was extensive, as was home & business damage.

Up to 44″ of snow fell in east-central Ohio, while the entire state picked up at least 10″ (Youngstown 29″, Steubenville 44″, Dayton 11″) .  Drifts of 25′ were reported in eastern Ohio with winds across the state gusting over 60 mph.  This was by far the worst blizzard in Ohio on record until the blizzard of 1978.  The entire state was completely paralyzed for days.  Up to 62″ of snow fell in West Virginia from the storm, while Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania picked up nearly 3 FEET of snow.  MEANWHILE, extensive flooding occurred in central & eastern parts of the state.  Numerous building collapses were reported from Ohio to eastern Kentucky, West Virginia & Pennsylvania from the weight of the snow.

In just this one storm, Ohio & West Virginia broke the state records for overall snowiest November ever recorded.  The records stand to this day in 2012.  Over a foot snow fell in Ontario, Canada.  Thunder & lightning accompanied the heavy snow with intense thundersnow just north & west of the center of the storm that resembled the eye of a hurricane.

Extreme cold blasted in with the storm.  All-time record lows for the month of November were set over most of the central & southern U.S.  Atlanta dropped to an amazing -3, while Savannah tanked to 15.  Birmingham, Alabama dropped to 5, while Montgomery hit 13 with Jacksonville, Florida down to 23.  Nashville, Tennessee dropped to -1.  Below zero readings were found into North Carolina with -5 at Asheville & coastal, southeast North Carolina dropped into the teens with 16 at Wilmington.

The Superstorm & Our Area…….

Blizzard conditions developed in the viewing area with the storm winds , snow & record-cold blasting in.

PURDUE UNIVERSITY AIRPORT OBSERVATIONS:

November 25, 1950 6 p.m. – November 26, 1950 5 p.m. consistent SUSTAINED winds of over 25 mph.  Gusts over 45 mph.

11/25 – 6 p.m. – Sustained wind measured at 30 mph

11/25 – 10 p.m. – Sustained wind measured at 32 mph

11/25 – 11 p.m. – Sustained wind measured at 32 mph

11/26 – 12 a.m. – Sustained wind measured at 30 mph

11/26 – 1 a.m. – Sustained wind measured at 30 mph

11/26 – 2 a.m. – Sustained wind measured at 32 mph

11/26 – 4 a.m. – Sustained wind measured at 32 mph

11/26 – 5 a.m. – Sustained wind measured at 30 mph

11/26 – 6 a.m. – Sustained wind measured at 30 mph

11/26 – 7 a.m. – Sustained wind measured at 35 mph

11/26 – 10 a.m. – Sustained wind measured at 30 mph

11/26 – 11 a.m. – Sustained wind measured at 35 mph

11/26 – 1 p.m. – Sustained wind measured at 30 mph

Snowfall Total/Temperature Drop Just Prior & After Storm:

Kokomo    9.5″    37 to -5

Crawfordsville    9.5″    38 to -5

Wabash    8.8″    36 to -3

Monticello    7.3″

Rochester    7.2″    37 to -4

Wheatfield    7.1″    36 to -10

Logansport    6.9″

Veedersburg    6.6″    37 to -7

Rensselaer    5.6″    35 to -10

Winamac    5.5″    35 to -10

Frankfort    5.5″    38 to -4

West Lafayette    3.7″     38 to -5

Fowler    3.6″    35 to -8

Delphi    3.3″    38 to -5

Kentland    2.2″    38 to -9

Covington    2.1″

Whitestown   1.3″    35 to -6

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Fog Looking More Widespread & Quite Dense Again………..

November 21st, 2012 at 10:37 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Upgrading wording from “patchy” to “areas” of dense fog tonight with visibility below 0.25 mile in many areas due to strengthening inversion & abundant low-level moisture.  I still do not think it will be quite as bad as this morning, though.

Fog will lift by late morning, followed by lots of sun, breezy & warm conditions.  Clouds will rapidly increase in the evening with a band of scattered showers & perhaps an isolated rumble of thunder passing late evening-early tomorrow night.

After this, it looks to rapidly clear with lows in the 30s by Friday morning & highs in the 40s with mostly sunny skies & strong, strong west to northwest winds up to 36 mph.