Many You Really Got the Rain, But Some of You Did Not…..Totals Vary From 0.05 to 4.20″!

August 27th, 2012 at 12:31 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

OVERALL…….

Weak cold front & upper trough passed last night, dumping anywhere from just 0.05″ to 4.20″ of rainfall in the area.  About 75% of the viewing area picked up at least 1″ of rainfall.  The remaining 25% (our southern areas) picked up much less with some places getting just 0.05″.  The delination between the heavy rainfall & very little was sharp.

Where the heavier rain occurred, significant chunk was taken out of the rainfall deficit for 2012.

DETAILS…….

Who needs Isaac when we get this kind of rain over a good chunk of the area with just a weak cold front & upper trough?  What’s behind this kind of rainfall?  Well, it wasn’t incredibly unstable, there was not impressive dynamic support.  There was instability for some thunder & lightning, but little else.  The rainfall was intense, though, where it set up with a large area of ascent or lift, producing a large area of rainfall.

Origins of this moisture was in the subtropical/tropical Pacific with its first end roads in the Desert Southwest with widespread flooding.  This moisture plume brought up to 2″ of rainfall to drought-plagued Kansas.  Our dew points reached low to mid 70s last night, something rare for this summer.  The atmosphere was loaded with water like a soaked sponge, resulting in high precipitable water values.  Also, the rainfall was slow-moving resulting in impressive accumulations over a chunk of the area.

The heaviest band ran from Benton & northern Warren to northwestern & northern Tippecanoe counties where totals were 3-4.20″.  At WLFI, the 2.98″ was the heaviest rainfall total in a day since June 2011 when 2.93″ fell.

Across Lafayette/West Lafayette Metro, the south half of this area received 1.25-2″ of rainfall, but the north & west half received up to 4″!  In fact if you drive from near the Purdue Airport to the northeast side near I-65 & 25, your total will go from 2.49″ to 3.41″.  Drive from there to WLFI & it goes from 3.41″ to 2.98″ & from there, drive to around the Agronomy Farm & then Montmorenci & it will go from 2.98″ to 3.60″ to 3.93″.  Drive from Montmorenci to Route 26 southwest of Klondyke to Pine Village & the totals from from 3.93″ to 4.13″ to 4.20″.  Take a drive to Crawfordsville & the rainfall drops to 0.27″!

At Indianapolis, Indy Executive Airport received just 0.07″ (eastern Boone County near Route 32), but Indianapolis International picked up 1.42″.

1.8 Miles Northwest of Pine Village (CoCoRHas observer)    4.20″

Halfway Between West Lafayette & Otterbein – Station at Route 26 & Indian Creek    4.13″

Pine Village    4.03″

Montmorenci    3.93″

Fowler    3.50″

Lafayette Far Northeast Side  at Route 25 & & Near E 300 N    3.41″

Otterbein    3.14″

WLFI-TV    2.98″

Attica    2.90″

Monticello    2.50″

Purdue Airport    2.49″

Remington    2.12″

Rensselaer    1.80″

Brookston    1.80″

Delphi    1.77″

Logansport    1.70″

Rochester    1.62″

Morocco    1.50″

Kentland    1.48″

Indianapolis International Airport    1.42″

Flora    1.41″

Winamac    1.40″

Lafayette Southeast Side    1.37″

Peru    1.36″

Russiaville    1.33″

Covington    1.01″

Grissom Air Reserve Base    0.97″

Michigantown    0.94″

Greentown    0.90″

Frankfort    0.88″

Perrysville    0.85″

Wheatfield    0.78″

Kokomo    0.73″

Tipton    0.41″

Crawfordsville    0.27″

Westfield    0.12″

Atlanta    0.09″

Ladoga    0.08″

Indianapolis Executive Airport    0.07″

Jamestown    0.05″


Colts add Davis

August 26th, 2012 at 10:32 pm by under Sports 18

It seems like the Colts’ players are dropping like flies right now. Three preseason games down and I feel like they have lost half of their team.

Defensive tackle Brandon McKinney and Griff Whalen are the recent major injuries. It seems McKinney will miss the entire season because of an ACL injury. Also, wide receiver Griff Whalen will be out indefinitely after fracturing his foot. I had big hopes for both of them this year after watching them in two preseason games. Also, Pat Angerer will miss quite a few more weeks with his fractured foot. Hopefully Jerraud Powers, T.Y. Hilton, Cory Redding, and Robert Mathis all bounce back. I feel terrible for wide receiver Austin Collie. I really think he should think about retiring after four concussions.

So, I say all of that to say that it is good that the Colts added a solid player in the secondary on Sunday. I don’t mind giving up a 2nd round pick and a conditional late-round pick in 2013 to get Vontae Davis. He is a great player and hopefully will help pull that secondary together. He had 43 tackles and 4 interceptions last year with the Dolphins.

The Colts impressed me through the first two weeks of the season. However, they fell apart against the Redskins. They couldn’t run the ball and they couldn’t stop the run. Those are the two main objectives that the Colts are supposed to focus on in each game under new head coach Chuck Pagano.

I’m trying to still piece together in my mind the Colts team that can still play. Rookie defensive tackle Josh Chapman should play at some point. He can fill the shoes of McKinney. Antonio Johnson has been playing well as the starting DT. Robert Mathis, Jerraud Powers, T.Y. Hilton, Cory Redding, and Pat Angerer all should be back at some point. So, I don’t think the Colts are as decimated as what some believe. Hopefully, they all heal up quickly because I still think this Colts team can get 5 to 7 wins this season.

Follow me on twitter: @sportsguycaleb

–Caleb


Monday Shaping Up Good: Rainfall Confined to Tonight-Early Monday Morning

August 26th, 2012 at 9:24 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Rainfall will be confined from tonight to just early Monday morning.  Otherwise, Monday looks dry with sunshine appearing.

With front coming through sooner, it will prevent temperature from reaching 90 Monday.  80s will do for highs Monday.  The week will be pretty hot with comfortable nights with some fog.

It looks dry until next weekend after Monday, when the remnants of Isaac pass with rainfall.  So, it still appears rainfall near Labor Day, then a cool-down actual Labor Day to a few days after.

Still thinking big heat-up in mid-September after a nice cool-down.


What’s Going On With These Yellow Trees?

August 26th, 2012 at 5:28 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Noticed how some trees look especially sickly this year?  They have pale yellow foliage on the entire or part of the tree, but the veins of the leaves are still green.  The trees that are showing this the most, as you may have noticed, are Pin Oaks (Quercus palustris), River Birch (Betula nigra) & Red Maple (Acer rubrum).  Shingle Oak (Quercus imbricaria), which has gained some popularity in landscaping & urban forestry in naturalistic planting.  It is a native oak & is a very nice replacement for the Asian Sawtooth Oak.  It has issues with these same symptoms.  This is called chlorosis.

You may have also noticed that all of these sickly trees are in subdivision &/or business park areas.  So what is going on?

Well, usually the same trees in these same locations will begin to exhibit these symptoms in mid to late summer.  In some years, it is much worse & it is especially bad this year.  You may even notice branches totally dying this year in these yellow, sickly-looking trees.

Pin & Shingle Oak like slightly acid to acid soils.  Our native Pin Oak reaches its greatest occurrence in Indiana in the acid flatwoods of southeast Indiana, where entire forests of Pin Oak, Sweetgum, Red Maple & American Beech exist.  This is a distinctive ecological region that I like to call the Eastern Illinoian Till Plain.  Charles Deam, expert Indiana botanist, strictly called this area “The Flats”.  Shingle Oak is THE tree of the gray prairies & barrens of the Western Illinoian Till Plain in southwestern & western Indiana, where is locally abundant on the brown-gray podozolic soils of this prairie/barrens region that is distinctive.  These two species, a bit picky about their soil pH, like more sour or acidic soils.

Red maple likes acid soils & the acid soils tend to enhance its fall color.  Native Red maple does not do well west of Illinois, where soils become increasingly alkaline.  River Birch has similar issues, as it likes acidic swamp soils.

When these species are planted in subdivisions & business parks, the are usually put in compacted soils (from construction) that have been scrapped of topsoil & where deep subsoils are mixed & brought to the surface.  Also, they may be planted where concrete has been mixed or construction materials may have been laid down (chunks of left-over drywall, for example) &/or the area has been HEAVILY irrigated.  When these species are planted in compacted soils, the manganese, zinc & iron may be so tightly held-unto in these soils that they are only partially accessible to the tree.  Concrete materials & drywall raise soil pH to alkaline levels.  Digging up deep, sticky subsoils may hold deeply-leached calcium & make for high soil pH.  Often times, it is a combination of these issues of tight soils, high pH make for an issue of getting the manganese, zinc & iron the tree needs to help make green foliage.  Areas that are irrigated daily & heavily have high soil pH, as hard water is spread over the surface.  Lawn care companies may go ahead & spread lime anyway & this raises pH further.

In a dry year, all this is enhanced, whereas a wetter year will leach away the high pH, as rainfall is more acidic, resulting in more neutral soils.

All this said, our drought has enhanced chlorosis in sensitive species where compacted, irrigated, construction-heavy soils exist.

A remedy is planting Chinkapin, Shumard, Swamp White, Bur Oak on these soils, which better-handle these issues.


Potential of Isaac Rainfall Continues to Increase for Next Weekend

August 26th, 2012 at 3:15 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

There appear to be issues with the thermometer at the Purdue Airport.  I have 87 at WLFI, it is 87 at Grissom Air Reserve Base & Indianapolis has 87.  Fowler has 87, Rantoul, Illinois 87, while Covington sits at 90.  Fort Wayne has 88, South Bend 87.  Purdue Airport has 80.

Regardless, it is a hot day with clouds & sun.  Some scattered showers/storms will occur to end the weekend & go into part of Monday.  Some of you will not get much at all, though.

After several days of dryness & heat (but relatively comfortable nights with some fog) this week, it appears Isaac will most likely bring rain to parts/all of the area.

Anytime a hurricane makes a landfall in Louisiana or Mississippi, even Texas, we get rainfall most of the time.  Timing for Isaac rainfall would be centered around next weekend.  An overwhelming majority of the model guidance suggests a landfall more towards Louisiana to Mississippi, perhaps Alabama with bands of isolated tornadoes, wind & flooding in Florida.

Still thinking Isaac will be a Category 3 or 4 at landfall on the northern Gulf coast.


Will Isaac Bring Rain? Any Updates to This?

August 26th, 2012 at 12:19 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Scattered showers/storms will pass to end the weekend & start the work week.  This will be followed by a period of rather hot, dry weather.

It appears the potential of Isaac bringing us some rainfall is increasing some.  Models have a Hurricane Isaac landfall anywhere from New Orleans, Louisiana to Appalachicola, Florida, but most bring the remnants north & northeastward up into our area just before Labor Day.  This is subject to change, but the potential sure looks to be going up a bit given model runs tonight.

One thing is for sure, a major hurricane is headed for the Gulf Coast with a very large wind & rain area.  Areas well away from the hurricane will see tornadoes & flooding.  Current forecast strength is for Cat. 2 at landfall, but I really believe the potential of a Cat. 3 or 4 storm is high given the upper ridging expected to move over the storm, lack of shear & extremely warm temperatures in the un-churned, un-upwelled Gulf of Mexico waters.


TerBush Gets His Chance

August 25th, 2012 at 11:16 pm by under Sports 18

After watching Caleb Martin’s feature story on Caleb TerBush, I find myself rooting more and more for a guy who has battled adversity at Purdue and finally has his chance to make a big impact.

How big of an impact he has will be determined by how much playing time Robert Marve and Rob Henry receive. I just don’t see how playing 3 quarterbacks will be successful for the Boilermakers. I struggle enough seeing how 2 QB’S will be significant parts of a game plan.

I guess what I’m trying to say is PLEASE give Caleb a legitimate shot to run this offense without a short leash. Nothing is worse then looking over your shoulder all the time wondering when Robert Marve will be replacing you.

How many times has a 2 QB system worked in football??? How many National Championship teams have used 2 QB’S?????? I hope we get used to seeing one guy under center this fall because once Danny Etling arrives in West Lafayette there wont be any more of this sub in and out stuff.

Follow me on Twitter at RossBolinWLFI

-RB


Another Day of 90s

August 25th, 2012 at 11:01 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Late August heat wave continues.  Air quality is bad, pollen & mold is extremely high & dry heat will moisten to make for increasingly uncomfortable conditions.  High temperatures today will run 92-97.  Humidity will not be out of control today, however, so it will feel like 92-97.

HIGH TEMPERATURES YESTERDAY:

Perrysville    94

Covington    94

Pence    93

Fowler    92

Crawfordsville    92

WLFI-TV    92

Rossville    91

Monticello    91

Frankfort    91

Burlingotn    91

Rensselaer    91

Morocco    91

Kokomo    91

Winamac    91

Chalmers    91

Indianapolis International Airport    90

Delphi    90

Rochester    90

Remington    90

Atlanta   89

Grissom Air Reserve Base    88

Peru    88


Late August Heat Wave

August 24th, 2012 at 12:55 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

We hit 90 for the first time since August 8 at WLFI yesterday, as did many other areas.  Mary Anne in Remington almost hit 90 with her 89-degree high temperature.

90 or greater is expected in the viewing area today, Saturday, Sunday & Monday.

It is already 88.6 degrees at WLFI-TV.

Mid-afternoon Saturday forecast temperatures per NAM model (notice the darker orange indicating 95 or greater in pockets of the viewing area at that time):

NAM model; projects 94 in Lafayette Saturday & 88 Sunday.  I like 92 for Sunday right now, rather than its projection of 88, but agree with its 94 for Saturday.  Pockets in our western & southwestern areas will see 96 or 97.

LAFAYETTE           
 KLAF   NAM MOS GUIDANCE    8/24/2012  1200 UTC                      
 DT /AUG  24/AUG  25                /AUG  26                /AUG  27 
 HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 
 N/X                    60          94          65          88    68 
 TMP  88 91 85 73 67 63 65 85 91 92 87 76 71 67 68 81 86 86 81 71 68 
 DPT  56 55 57 60 59 58 58 62 60 60 62 62 60 60 61 64 63 63 64 66 65 
 CLD  CL CL CL CL CL SC BK CL FW FW FW CL CL SC BK SC BK BK OV OV OV 
 WDR  17 17 15 11 11 10 12 21 18 18 18 16 20 18 19 22 23 23 22 22 00 
 WSP  06 07 04 03 01 01 02 01 04 05 04 03 02 02 01 05 09 08 04 02 00 
 P06         2     3     4     8     2     4    10    11    22 19 37 
 P12                     6           8          10          22    44 
 Q06         0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0  0  3 
 Q12                     0           0           0           0     3 
 T06     12/ 9  5/ 0  5/ 0  6/ 4 22/ 6 17/ 0  5/ 0  8/ 2 26/11 25/ 2 
 T12           20/ 9       10/ 4       32/ 6       13/ 3    35/11    
 CIG   8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  7  2 
 VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  5  7  7  7  7  7  7  5  5  6  7  7  6  5  4 
 OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N BR  N  N  N  N  N  N HZ BR  N  N  N  N BR BR

 

CURRENT TEMPERATURES:

COVINGTON    92

PERRYSVILLE    92

PINE VILLAGE    90

RENSSELAER    90

MONTICELLO    90

FRANKFORT    90

CRAWFORDSVILLE    90

WLFI-TV    89

ROCHESTER    89

ROSSVILLE    89

REMINGTON    88

KOKOMO    88

MOROCCO    88

FOWLER    87

ATTICA    87

DELPHI    87

BURLINGTON    87

PENCE    87

LOGANSPORT    87

PERU    87

INDIANAPOLIS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT    87

INDIANAPOLIS EXECUTIVE AIRPORT    87

PURDUE UNIVERSITY AIRPORT    86

WESTFIELD    86

ATLANTA    85

EAGLE CREEK AIR PARK (INDIANAPOLIS)    84

 


Unusual Aspects of Hurricane Season 2012

August 24th, 2012 at 11:32 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

We were talking about this in July.  The huge subtropical ridge was & is still pushing tropical systems WAY south.  Isaac has struggled to intensify because he is ingesting air originating off land, which is drier.  That dry air is coming from Venezuela.  So, this is a very far SOUTHERN storm to have effects from South America.

However, with Gulf trough crossing over the next few days, it will get pulled north & after having issues moving over land in Cuba may explode in the Gulf of Mexico.  Category 1 peak status may be very conservative & the National Hurricane Center may upgrade this prediction when Isaac makes landfall.

Where Isaac makes landfall will determine whether he will bring any clouds &/or rain to our area.  Generally-speaking, the farther west he tracks, the better potential of rainfall for us.  This morning, most models are pulling Isaac into Alabama or the Florida Panhandle.  One American model has Isaac raking Florida with wind & rain with a landfall near Pensacola.

Bottom line:  Isaac will make landfall on the Gulf Coast, but it is unclear where.  Houston to Panama City is a huge cone of potential, but given model wobbling, it is the best prediction this far out.  So, Isaac is a wildcard in the forecast for us.