Hot Corn Belt Sunday……100* Still Likely Monday…..”Ring of Fire” Storm Clusters

July 22nd, 2012 at 11:47 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

It was brutally hot in a good chunk of the Corn Belt Sunday.  High temperatures ranged from 89 to 98 across the viewing area (as the heat wave edged in) while they pushed 110 well to our west & southwest.

Terre Haute Hulman Field Airport reached 98, while North Terre Haute reached 100.  Glenwood, Iowa reached 107;  Wichita, Kansas 105; Des Moines, Iowa reached 104;  Manhatten, Kansas 106; Sioux City, Iowa 104; Topeka, Kansas 105.

HIGHS TEMPERATURES TODAY:

CRAWFORDSVILLE    98

ATTICA    97

COVINGTON    97

PERRYSVILLE    97

INDIANAPOLIS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT    96

PENCE    96

ROSSVILLE    95

WLFI-TV    95

FRANKFORT    95

DELPHI    95

EAGLE CREEK AIRPARK (INDIANAPOLIS)    95

MONTICELLO    95

INDIANAPOLIS EXECUTIVE AIRPORT    94

BURLINGTON    94

WESTFIELD    94

FOWLER    93

KOKOMO    93

ATLANTA    93

ROCHESTER    91

LOGANSPORT    90

PERU    89

GRISSOM AIR RESERVE BASE    89

MOROCCO    89

RENSSELAER    89

WINAMAC    89

Highs this week will be in the 90s to 100s.  100 is a good bet Monday, even Wednesday.

We will be near the “Ring of Fire”, so storm clusters will flirt with us all week.  Any storm cluster may produce at least some severe weather in the form of wind at any point.  Timing of any cluster & exact track is in question.  So, just count on a hot, humid week with temps to 100 & occasional storm clusters affecting part of/all of/or bits of the area off & on through next Friday.

I would put 97-103 every day, but t’storm debri cloudiness at times will bring down the highs some, at times.  So, I went for 100, 96, 100, 96, 94 for Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday & Friday.

NAM model projection below (103 Mon., 89 with debri cloudiness Tue., 97 Wed., for example):

LAFAYETTE           
 KLAF   NAM MOS GUIDANCE    7/23/2012  0000 UTC                      
 DT /JULY 23            /JULY 24                /JULY 25          /  
 HR   06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 18 00 
 X/N                   103          72          89          68    97 
 TMP  75 72 74 86 98103 96 84 79 75 74 79 84 89 87 79 73 70 73 93 90 
 DPT  63 63 64 67 67 65 66 65 65 64 65 65 67 67 69 68 66 66 68 69 68 
 CLD  BK BK OV BK FW FW SC SC OV OV OV BK BK SC BK BK OV BK BK FW CL 
 WDR  21 24 25 25 26 27 27 25 26 29 16 09 09 14 09 07 08 09 09 26 24 
 WSP  03 03 03 10 13 11 06 05 05 05 10 09 09 07 05 05 03 02 01 11 08 
 P06        10    32     3    31    36    27     8    26    30  6  6 
 P12                    32          62          27          41    10 
 Q06         0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0  0  0 
 Q12                     0           4           0           1     0 
 T06     11/ 1 16/ 4 32/22 39/13 24/ 3 17/ 4 32/14 45/ 8 25/ 4 24/20 
 T12           25/ 7       51/23       32/ 5       55/14    33/ 8    
 CIG   8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8 
 VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  5  5  7  7  7  7  5  5  4  7  7 
 OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N HZ HZ  N  N  N  N BR BR BR  N  N

 


A Bonus For Colt World Series

July 22nd, 2012 at 12:33 am by under Sports 18

Since the rule change that required Hoosier North to play/win their way into the Colt World Series was put into place a few years ago I always thought the years that both teams made the field was a bonus for the Lafayette area.

While neither team is a favorite to win the World Series this year, the bottom line is that these two teams will draw well attendance wise which is great news for Lafayette, Loeb Stadium, and those afraid the Colt World Series would leave the Lafayette area.

I’m not sure which team will make a deeper run in this years tournament at Loeb. If we are going off the names on the rosters, the Lafayette All-Stars should play and perform much better. However, there is something about this years Hoosier North team that intrigues me and has me wondering if they wont surprise some people the first week of August.

I hope you all enjoyed the story Caleb Martin did with these two teams and I look forward to seeing you all at Loeb Stadium on opening night the first Friday in August.

Follow me on Twitter at RossBolinWLFI

-RB


Hot Week with Some Storm Clusters

July 21st, 2012 at 11:41 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

A hot, muggy week is still on track with the highest temperatures of this latest round of heat occurring early in the week.  Since we will be near the “Ring of Fire” on the periphery of the heat wave, the opportunity exists for a few clusters of storms to clip or affect part of/most of the viewing area mid to late week.  I wouldn’t be surprised if we see some severe weather from these in the form of some severe straight-line wind.

Such a pattern is conducive for MCSs (these storm clusters) to evolve over Minnesota/Wisconsin & move east, then turn southeast & south.

As of right now, data supports maybe 3-4 of these affecting at least parts of the viewing area Wednesday-Saturday.

NAM model guidance below.  Still going with near 96 Sunday & near 100 Monday & Tuesday.

New NAM data is a bit cooler Tuesday, but I still prefer 100.  Monday guidance is at 99, down from 103, but I STILL prefer 100.


LAFAYETTE           
 KLAF   NAM MOS GUIDANCE    7/22/2012  0000 UTC                      
 DT /JULY 22            /JULY 23                /JULY 24          /  
 HR   06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 18 00 
 X/N                    97          71          99          74    91 
 TMP  69 65 68 85 94 97 91 80 77 73 76 89 96 98 93 84 79 76 77 87 87 
 DPT  61 60 61 61 60 60 61 61 62 63 65 65 64 64 66 67 67 67 68 69 70 
 CLD  SC BK FW CL CL FW BK SC BK BK BK BK FW SC BK SC SC SC BK SC SC 
 WDR  00 22 24 25 25 25 22 20 20 22 25 25 26 26 24 25 25 25 23 01 06 
 WSP  00 02 02 05 06 06 05 03 03 02 03 08 12 10 06 08 06 06 09 11 06 
 P06         3     3     2     2     4     4    25     4    31 25  9 
 P12                     6           6          25          32    25 
 Q06         0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0  0  0 
 Q12                     0           0           0           0     0 
 T06      6/ 0  7/ 1 25/ 6 11/ 4 12/ 2 10/ 4 29/21 26/11 22/ 3 26/20 
 T12            8/ 1       26/ 7       19/ 5       38/21    32/ 8    
 CIG   8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8 
 VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  5  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  5  7  6 
 OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N HZ  N  N  N  N  N  N  N BR HZ HZ


Still Looks Like 100* By Monday

July 21st, 2012 at 4:08 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

The next intense heat wave is moving in.  The high cirrus is moving in on the periphery of the intense heat just to our west after fog & a comfortable 60 this morning.

Below is the NAM model numerical guidance which I currently agree with the most out of all the model solutions.  Looks like 93-98 Sunday & 98-103 Monday.  I would go for 100-106, if not for recent rainfall dampening a lot of soils in the area.

LAFAYETTE           
 KLAF   NAM MOS GUIDANCE    7/21/2012  1200 UTC                      
 DT /JULY 21/JULY 22                /JULY 23                /JULY 24 
 HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 
 N/X                    66          96          73         103    75 
 TMP  87 89 84 73 71 68 71 87 93 96 92 82 78 75 78 92100103 99 80 78 
 DPT  56 55 57 59 59 58 60 63 61 61 63 63 64 65 68 69 67 65 66 68 70 
 CLD  CL CL CL SC OV SC SC CL FW SC BK BK SC BK BK SC SC FW BK BK BK 
 WDR  35 32 03 11 00 26 24 25 24 22 21 19 23 25 25 26 26 26 25 27 32 
 WSP  03 04 03 01 00 02 03 06 07 05 05 04 03 03 06 12 15 12 08 08 01 
 P06         2     3     4     4    23     4     3     6     2 25 33 
 P12                     6          23           8           9    33 
 Q06         0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0  0  1 
 Q12                     0           0           0           0     0 
 T06      4/ 0 10/ 0  8/ 0  7/ 2 28/11 14/ 7 12/ 3 13/ 8 28/24 35/ 3 
 T12           12/ 1        9/ 2       32/11       25/ 9    61/24    
 CIG   8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8 
 VIS   7  7  7  7  7  5  5  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  5  6  7  7  7  7  4 
 OBV   N  N  N  N  N BR BR  N  N  N  N  N  N  N HZ HZ  N  N  N  N BR


Tracking Intense Heat Waves & Some Storm Clusters In the “Ring of Fire” Now-Early August

July 20th, 2012 at 11:08 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

JULY 1936 VS. JULY 2012……HOTTEST JULY SINCE 1936

JULY 1936 AT AG FARM:  83.7*    0.62″

JULY 2012

WLFI-TV    81.5*    0.77″    Driest July Since 1936 in Ag Farm Data Set

Purdue University Airport    81.9*    0.87″    Driest July Since 1967 (0.65″)

Purdue Agronomy Farm    80.8*    1.03″    Driest July Since 1991 (0.85″)

NOW-LATE AUGUST…………

Summary….

Still looks like no big changes to hot summer pattern.

Pattern to August 5 will be dominated by Plains/Midwest upper ridge with record heat & storm clusters riding the periphery of it.  Also, there will tend to be daily storms in the southern part of the U.S. & abundant monsoonal storms in the southwest U.S.

Overall Details………..Weekend – Late August…

After the weekend-next week heat wave, we may see the ridge be pushed west a hair & us “cool” to 89-94 for just a bit.  However, it will likely re-expand & bring 98-103 either in early August or as we move out of late July & move into early August.

Another intense heat wave is still favored in latter August after some relief in mid-August (80s & 90s with overnight lows in the 50s & 60s).

In terms of rainfall, it looks sporadic, but there will be some.  A few storm clusters (perhaps severe) may affect the area in the “Ring of Fire” as the ridge contracts later next week & one or two may affect us late month.  However, not everyone will get the good rain, but the rainfall intensity of any storm will help a bit.


Colts have some Luck!

July 20th, 2012 at 6:57 pm by under Sports 18

It was great to see the Indianapolis Colts agree to a deal with their new rookie quarterback Andrew Luck.

Indy had to get him signed before training camp so he could take all the snaps and build the chemistry that the Colts need. The Colts still have two more rookies to sign in Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen. Hopefully, those deals are very close to being finalized soon. Those two could end up being the best weapons for Luck on offense.

I am really excited that the NFL season is just right around the corner. Training camp for the Colts begins on July 29 and will wrap up on August 17 at Anderson.  I can’t wait to get out to the Colts practice and see these new guys in action.

Follow me on twitter: @sportsguycaleb

–Caleb Martin


3 Wet Downbursts (2 Macro 1 Micro)………Another Intense Heat Wave On the Way

July 20th, 2012 at 3:41 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Downburst Categories:

Macroburst = Diameter over 2.5 miles

Microburst = Diameter 2.5 miles or less

3 wet downbursts (2 macrobursts & 1 microburst) occurred late afternoon yesterday with three core of decent wind damage in the form of trees & limbs downed with some roof damage.  A camper was tossed & destroyed south of Frankfort.

The roof damage & destroyed camper, as well as the worst tree/crop damage occurred where the downbursts smashed the ground.  All of the other damage fanned out from these central points of more substantial damage & decreased away from these points.

Quite a fog deck/very low stratus formed under inversion overnight (like a coke bottle steaming up & then some of the droplets condensing & rolling down the side of it).  Some of it actually condensed into some drizzle/mist & a few light rain showers this morning.

Now, cloud deck/fog deck is burning off & temperatures are skyrocketing into the 80s after being the 70s most of the day.

Patchy fog is possible tonight, though the inversion does not look strong enough for any sort of stratus deck to form.  The upper ridge will begin to overspread the area tomorrow with a hot 89-94 day & 93-98 by Sunday.


2-3 Wet Micro/Macrobursts Southeast Tippecanoe/Clinton Counties

July 19th, 2012 at 10:45 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

The only area of severe weather was in southeast Tippecanoe to Clinton counties, where it appears, a family of 2-3 wet micro/macrobursts occurred.  Estimated peak winds were 60-70 mph.  Core of quarter-sized hail occurred southwest of Frankfort.

Round cores of fanning wind damage occurred around Stockwell/Clark’s Hill/Fickle & then southwest of Frankfort, perhaps another at Antioch/Reagan.

Sporadic 50-55 mph gusts occurred from the Purdue Airport to the southeast side of Lafayette with pea-sized hail.  A tree fell on 1000S on the southside of Lafayette & a large limb was split on the southeast side of Lafayette.

Widespread damaging winds have/are occurring from southern Indiana through Kentucky & Tennessee.  At one point this evening, 40% of the counties in the state of Kentucky were under Severe T’Storm Warnings with winds up to 75 mph.


Tipton County Lastnight for Severe Wind, SE Tippy to Clinton Tonight

July 19th, 2012 at 6:49 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Clark’s Hill:  Limbs down

3 Miles Northeast of Clark’s Hill:  Small tree down.

Fickle:  Trees Down at U.S. 52 & Route 28

Frankfort Municipal Airport (1 mile west of Frankfort):  Measured gust to 55 mph

Frankfort (2 Miles Southwest of Frankfort):  Measured gust to 61 mph

Frankfort:  Pea to quarter-sized hail

Rossville:  Pea-sized hail

Purdue University Airport:  Measured gust to 53 mph

WLFI-TV:  Measured gust to 41 mph

Southeast Side of Lafayette:  Pea-sized hail


Macroburst Possible Southern Clinton Possible…….Some Pea to Quarter Stones Possible

July 19th, 2012 at 6:41 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

60 mph wind gust in a 3-mile diameter is likely near Antioch & Manson to Reagan, in Clinton County.

Some pea- to quarter-sized hail is also possible.