RAINFALL TOTALS AS OF 3:35 P.M. PER DOPPLER RADAR…………..
Teri in Lafayette has already had 1.67″ as of 4:07 p.m. & I measured 1.08″ here at WLFI as of 4:30 p.m.
The breadwinner so far has been Teri with 1.67″ & Romney a second at 1.34″.
WARM FRONT BULGING NORTH, SEPARATING 50 FROM 80s……….RAIN BECOMING MUCH MORE SCATTERED THIS EVENING (SO IMPROVEMENT IF YOU WANT TO GET OUTSIDE FOR A BIT)…………
Front moved through our area & south of here lastnight & this morning. It moved southward enough to give us a nice morning with even some sun.
However, front is already prematurely working back north, socking us in rain & t’storms. It is in the lower 80s in southern Ohio & southern Illinois & even areas near I-70 have been running around 70 degrees! Even Mansfield, Ohio has 77 degrees! So, front has not made much progress southward & that quick sinking to the south was short-lived. That is not good news for us in regards to flooding rainfall. It will just add more to our totals.
The entire viewing area is still on the cool side of the warm front right now, so no need to worry about severe threat, though there was a bit of pea-sized hail in a few places this morning with front sinking southward.
INCREASING RAINFALL TOTALS A BIT………………..RIVER FLOODING INFORMATION……………
So, I am upping total rainfall (Tuesday-Friday morning total) from 1-3″ to 2-4″ per recent trends. Current forecasts point towards a 17.1′ crest at Lafayette by Saturday, but I would not be surprised if it is more like 20.0′ by late weekend. At 20′, water covers Stair Road just off Route 225 in northeast Tippecanoe County. At this level Route 43 may close, some parts of Barton Beach Road floods & River Road around Wabash Valley Hospital floods, in addition to roads in Granville Bridge area. Route 225 closes at this level, with extensive flooding of agricultural fields. All parks in West Lafayette & Lafayette flood at 20.0′.
At Covington, current forecasts point to a 21.0′ crest by Monday, however, I would not be surprised to see it get to 24.0′. At 24.0′, water has exceeded the threshold for overtopping on ag levees (23.0′), Williamsport & Sandhill Roads flood with the higher bottomlands submerged. Not only are normally the lanes of river residences on South River Road south of Covington flooded, but if 24.0′ level is reached, basement flooding of up to 12 cottages occurs at Covington.
We will continue to watch this. Other smaller streams & rivers will get high & may flood this week.
You can monitor flood stages & forecasts from expert hydrologists at the National Weather Service:
ISOLATED & SCATTERED SEVERE THREAT TIMING…………..WINDY WEATHER…………….
This wave of showers & storms will pass today & we will see & bit of lull this evening as warm front continues to work northward. In fact, temperatures will remain steady, then start to slowly rise tonight.
However, re-developing scattered showers & storms will periodically pass overnight through tomorrow. Tomorrow, isolated severe still looks likely with isolated large hail & brief EF0 tornado threat with warm front near area.
Rain will push north by Thursday morning. Thursday looks dry, but squall line with severe threat will move in Thursday night. Strong south winds Thursday may gust to 40 mph.