It is a blessing that our vegetation is not as advanced as that in southern Indiana & into Kentucky.
Those with orchards can have some relief knowing that up our way, but it will be a long night for those with orchards well south of here. A hard freeze is likely all the way to Tennessee.
You can see in this picture from southern Indiana (Brian Jesson) that this crabapple tree is in blossom & covered in snow this morning. This area, which will be closer to the surface high will drop to near 25 tonight, resulting in tree damage of much more advanced vegetation.
Pic courtesy of NWS Louisville.
Temperatures are already 25-32 across viewing area as of 11 p.m.
These numbers will tend to level off as surface high moves eastward & warm front approaches tonight. Some high cirrus may even arrive by morning with commencement of light southeast wind.
Regardless, it will still be an unseasonably cold, frosty night at 24-27!
After 20s tonight, strong south winds & abundant sunshine tomorrow will at least pull us into the 50s!
The winds may gust to 35 mph, however. Unfortunately, it will feel cooler than the actual air temperature due to that wind.
Thursday, warm air ahead of clipper will warm us into the 60s with strong south-southwest winds to 31 mph. Skies will be partly cloudy.
Bad thing is that clipper will pass Friday with a few scattered showers & t’showers (35% coverage) & the high of 56 may actually fall in the afternoon-evening.
Lows will drop into the lower & middle 30s Friday night.
There is better news for Saturday & Saturday night. For one thing, Saturday looks warmer & Saturday night now looks warmer, too. A warm front with clouds will approach, so it now appears unlikely that we will see frost/freezing conditions. 37-42 seems much more likely with an east/southeast wind.
60s will arrive Sunday.
More clouds will arrive Monday with 65-70 with 64-68 Tuesday. I am considering putting some showers in for Monday, but this far out with clipper or weak system is hard. Will wait pending more data, given the fact that it is only Tuesday.
After this, it looks dry, windy & much warmer mid- to late-next week. I think farmers may actually begin fieldwork for planting with multiple days in the 70s to perhaps the first day where much of the area is 80-82 (we were 76-80 Saturday).
Severe weather is possible northwest & west of our area Minnesota to Kansas late next week. Showers & t’storms appear to arrive here Friday night-Saturday.
Right now, they do not look severe, but we will keep an eye to make sure the severe threat to our west & northwest does not shift east & southeastward.
You can see below that 80s will surge to South Dakota by Tuesday. Widespread 70s & even 80-82 will approach & overspread our area later next week.