NOTE: This is the last post until early Sunday morning, given commitments Saturday-Saturday night & lack of close proximity to data or computer. No new data will be viewed, nor any forecasting done until that point & this forecast is based on data before me as of 10 p.m. on Friday.
Everyone have a great weekend!
During this time in 1997, a round of snow was moving through our area. Up to 9.3″ fell just south of our area in Putnam County with 8.4″ in parts of Indy metro, but most of our area had 2-4″ with 4-6″ on the outer fringes of the north, east & south.
Lake effect at the tail end of the storm & thereafter led to the higher totals in Jasper County.
System originated in Texas & spread precip northeastward.
As skies are clearing, the temperature is dropping quickly. Where low clouds still exist, temperatures are 21-25. Where it is clear, temperatures are as low as 15 already.
That said, mostly clear skies & lows well down into the teens look good, but given this trend of such a temp drop, I like 9-16 more than previous forecast of 14-18.
Increasing clouds & 29-33 looks good for tomorrow.
Light snow is likely Saturday evening-night, but I am leaning heavily on the lighter end of accumulations. I say 1-2″, but I like 1″ much more than 2″. In fact, any amounts of over 1.5″ look rare & isolated & only confined to our north.
I say this as it appears system overall is tracking more north, with deeper moisture separated from it. So, it is in two pieces; a northern-central/Midwest piece with snow & a southern U.S. piece with showers.
Of interest is that fact that the second system, which looked to bring 2-5″ of snowfall south of our region Monday-Tuesday, is tracking farther north.
My original thoughts were scattered flurries & snow showers Sunday-Tuesday with less than 1″ of accumulation each day. I would prefer to keep it that way & wait to see if guidance is on to something with the early week system.
To summarize, I like more like 1″ than 1.5 or 2″ Saturday evening-night & still prefer scattered flurries & snow showers with less than 1″ of accumulation each day Sunday-Tuesday, as opposed to system accumulating snowfall.