Chad’s WLFI Weather Blog

Some of You Had First 80-Degree High of the Year Saturday

April 19th, 2015 at 1:04 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

What a nice & warm Saturday!

Waves of showers & a few t’storms will dominate Sunday with east to east-southwest winds at 10-20 mph & highs in the 60s to near 70.

DMA Map II


Warmest Day of the Year So Far

April 18th, 2015 at 4:03 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

It is 76-81 as of 4 p.m.!

DMA Map II


Spring’s Progression Shows Indiana’s Climate Zones Well

April 18th, 2015 at 1:16 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Severe threat will stay southwest of our area Sunday-Sunday night, but were are looking at multiple waves of showers & t’storms.  After increasing/thickening clouds & 77-81 today, 67-70 looks reasonable for tomorrow.  Next week looks cool & breezy with a few spotty showers & highs in the 50s & lows in the 30s.  We’ll warm up quickly next weekend, though.

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With a trip to Evansville down 231 to 157 to 231, then I-69, it was interesting to see spring’s progression from south to north & how it all aligns with Indiana’s climate zones.

FARMING:

In Tippecanoe & far northern Montgomery counties, there is quite a bit of farm work down in the fields I could see.  From anhydrous application to dry fertilizer, chemical application to even field cultivation.  Once I went into central Montgomery County, there was no field work down & the fields looks extra wet, however in southern Montgomery, through Putnam County, a lot of field work had been completed.

In Owen & northern Greene County, zero fieldwork has been done & many fields are completely purple in Henbit.

In Daviess County, some fieldwork had been completed, which looked mainly like anhydrous application.  Many fields were choked in henbit, pennycress/peppergrass & chickweed, it appeared.

It was the same in Pike County with some field work shown completed, but NO fieldwork had been done in Gibson or Vanderburgh County.  In fact, many fields had standing water & were completely covered in the yellow mustard, henbit & tall cool-season weeds.  Even fields worked from the fall had a lot of cool-season annuals in bloom

PHENOLOGY:

All of the Tippecanoe County vegetation was the same, but there appeared to be some slight advancement in Montgomery County.  It wasn’t until I got to Greencastle that I really noticed a difference.  The dogwoods are blooming & the crabapples are adorned in peak bloom in Greencastle.  Even the tuliptrees’ leaves are double the size of those in Tippecanoe County & the redbuds are blossoming.  All of the sycamores were bare, though.

The advancement steadily increased & by the time I reached Owen County, lilacs were just beginning to bloom & Norway Maples were in leaf.  In Greene County, Bloomfield had nearly or even fully-grown Tuliptree leaves with the Black, White & Chinkapin Oaks in full blossom.  The Ohio Buckeyes were in full blossom as were the lilacs with the dogwoods in 100% full, peak bloom! The sycamores were just starting to bud.

In Daviess County, oaks had small leaves & after a mix of lots of leaves & blossoms on the Bradford pears in Greene County, the Daviess County Bradfords were in complete full leaf with no flowers at all.

In the southern part of the county, the Black Walnuts & Pecans were in blossom with sycamores showing 1/3 to full growth leaves.

Once I drove well into Pike County, a good many Silver Maples had full-grown leaves with full-grown seeds that were beginning to yellow a bit as they approach ripening.

In Evansville, it was like a completely different month with them 3 weeks ahead with leafed River Birches, Red & Silver maples in full leaf with seeds likely to be ripe & falling in few days.  Tuliptrees were near blossom with large flower buds.  The Cottonwoods in Tippecanoe County just bloomed, but there they are in full leaf.  The oaks have small leaves & Black locusts are beginning to blossom with some sugar maples completely clothed in full-grown foliage.  The sycamores have leaves (not full-grown though) & the Baldcypress are completely clothed in foliage.

The hickories have leaves & some Pin, Shumard & Northern Red Oak leaves were 1/2 full grown.

The black cherries are in full blossom in the Evansville area, as well.

Catalpas have small leaves, too.

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A Year (or Two’s) Worth of Rain In One Day

April 17th, 2015 at 10:30 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Very interesting on what transpired a few weeks ago:

http://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/flooding-chile%E2%80%99s-atacama-desert-after-years%E2%80%99-worth-rain-one-day


Areas of Dense Fog Tonight…….Best Day of the Year So Far Tomorrow

April 16th, 2015 at 10:15 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Areas of dense fog will develop tonight & very low clouds may fill back in over the southeastern part of the viewing area.  Lows in the 40s to around 50 look good.

With a 75-80 Friday with lots of sun & light winds, it will likely be the best day of the year so far!

After 50s & patchy fog tomorrow night, lots of sun & only some increase high/mid p.m. clouds will occur Saturday.  Upper 70s to as high as 81 look likely with south-southwest winds at 10-15 mph.


Some Clearing

April 16th, 2015 at 3:35 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

It is still gray in Lafayette, but the green trees & grass look great!  Some clearing is occurring in Newton, Jasper & Benton counties with a few holes in the clouds elsewhere.

The clearing trend shows up well in the current temperature map.

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Latest Outlook

April 16th, 2015 at 2:34 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Two things have changed in this forecast……………

1.  How far north really warm air gets.
2.  Speed of weekend rainfall/storms (much slower)

SO…………..

1.  Low clouds may break/erode later today, but may drift back in with some fog tonight with lows in the 40s & 50s.

2.  Tomorrow will be GREAT!  Light wind, lots of sun & 75-80 with only 50s tomorrow night with patchy fog.

3.  Saturday looks GOOD!  Clouds may be increasing & the wind pick up from the south & southwest at 15-25 mph, but highs of 77-81 look reasonable.

4.  Wave of rain/storms Saturday night-Sunday morning, then BREAK WITH SUN Sunday afternoon with 70s.

5.  Rain/storms possible Sunday evening-night.  SEVERE THREAT is close call.  It looks very likely for Missouri, parts of Iowa & most of Illinois.  We will monitor.

6.  Total rainfall (including this morning’s rain) will run 1-2″ area-wide by Sunday night.  It is not completely out of the question that a few isolated locations may exceed 2″ a bit.

7.  First half of next week will have highs only in the 50s with lots of close & perhaps a couple spotty showers with some frost possible at night.

8.  End of next week will WARM UP NICELY with return of 70s, it appears.


Changes to the Forecast Based On Timing of Rainfall Rounds

April 16th, 2015 at 11:46 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

TODAY-TONIGHT…………..

Rainfall has exited & we are getting some sun peeking through the low clouds in places.  The widespread clearing with temperatures surging into the 60s is in parts of central & western Illinois.

Latest data bring more & more breaking of the clouds into early afternoon with the clearing line working from west to east through area 3-5 p.m.  Highs of around 65-70 look good.

The low clouds may tend to fill back in over our southern & eastern counties overnight with some patchy fog area-wide with 40s to around 50.

FRIDAY-SATURDAY…………

As for Friday, it looks GREAT with mostly sunny to sunny skies with highs of 74-78 with a light & variable wind.  After 50s Friday night with patchy fog, Saturday is even looking GOOD.  It appears that any rain will hold off until Saturday night with Saturday highs at 76-81.

SUNDAY-SUNDAY NIGHT……………

It looks as if one wave of rain & t’storms will pass late Saturday night-Sunday morning, then the sun will come out with temperatures surging into the 70s Sunday.

A line of severe t’storms will likely form in Missouri & Iowa & move eastward.  By 6 p.m., it may be in western Illinois.  This will pass over our area Sunday late evening-night.  Severe weather is a good bet parts of Iowa to Missouri to northern Arkansas, northward to Illinois.  It is possible that we may get in on some of this, but it is unclear how much, especially with the airmass stabilizing some after dusk Sunday here.

If you add up the rain we received last night & then what we will get in the second half of the weekend, 1-2″ is likely area-wide.

NEXT WEEK………………

This looks to be followed by highs only in the 50s for part of next week with lows in the 30s.  With a lot of cold air aloft, looks like some mostly cloudy, cool, breezy days with perhaps even a few spotty showers.

We will warm late next week pretty quickly though.

 

 


Showers Moving In

April 15th, 2015 at 10:02 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

After gusts of up to 38 mph today with brush fires & 67-72, we are 55-62 right now.  Showers are now moving into part of the area.

Showers & even a few t’storms are possible tonight-tomorrow morning, followed by a lull with some sun, then a few more showers & t’storms in the afternoon-evening.

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Scattered Showers & a Few Isolated T’Storms On the Way

April 15th, 2015 at 6:30 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

A few spotty showers may make it to the ground this evening, but the better potential of scattered showers & perhaps even a few isolated t’storms is overnight.

One wave of rainfall may pass tomorrow, followed by some sun, then a few more showers & t’storms in the afternoon-evening.

Highs of 66-72 look good after lows tonight at 47-54.

We will not have the wind issues after midnight, through tomorrow.