Chad’s WLFI Weather Blog

A Look Back at the Warmest December On Record (& Second Warmest Winter On Record)

December 15th, 2014 at 3:16 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

1889-90 was second only to the 1875-76 winter for warmest on record for our area.  December 1889 was the warmest on record in the Lafayette/West Lafayette data set with the mean temperature an incredible 15 degrees above normal!  The daily high mean was an amazing 17.5 degrees above normal!

January was similar, as was February, before the coldest air of the “winter” arrived in March (along with the heaviest snowfall of the season, but even that cold spell was rather short-lived & March still ended up substantially above normal.

A tornado struck Wayne County, Indiana with a track a half-mile wide & at least 4 miles long west of Cambridge City on December 11, 1889.  Damage was conducive to EF2 strength, it appears.

A severe weather outbreak occurred on New Years Day 1876 & several tornadoes hit areas south of modern-day Interstate 70 in January 1890.  Brazil, Terre Haute & many portions of southern Indiana reported significant damage.

In the other warm winter, a violent, potentially EF4 tornado, demolished part of Princeton, Indiana in February 1876 & another tornado struck southwest of this location in March 1890.

Louisville, Kentucky was struck by a very destructive tornado in March 1890.

Here, at least some severe t’storms occurred in the viewing area each month in the 1889-90 winter.

On the other side, the Pacific Northwest had its coldest winter on record with deep snows to the Oregon & Washington coasts.

Below is data from West Lafayette Purdue Experimental Farm, December 1889.

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Temperature deviations & surface low tracks for December 1889 (courtesy of NOAA):

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Check out this article on the opposite end of the spectrum the country in the 1889-90 winter:

http://www.siskiyous.edu/library/shasta/documents/hardwinter.pdf

Nevada City, California after a series of record-breaking snowstorms in 1889-90 winter:

(Courtesy of http://yubanet.com/index.php)

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Showers Moving In

December 15th, 2014 at 1:48 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

First band of showers is moving into the viewing area as the California system pivots through northwestern Missouri.

Rainfall amounts still look rather insignificant with total amounts of 0.25-0.40″ by later tomorrow.  With the showers will be fog & drizzle mixed in, as well.

After lows tonight only in the 40s, highs tomorrow will run 47-51 by noon, then fall to 38-44 by late afternoon.

The wind will crank up tomorrow.  Southwest wind at 10 mph in the morning will give way to southwest, then west-southwest to west winds tomorrow noon-afternoon at 20-30 mph.

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Below is suggested forecast guidance regarding snowfall & the two systems generally around December 20-22.

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Holes In Overcast!

December 14th, 2014 at 2:04 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

We are getting holes in the overcast in parts of the area!

Temperatures are running 47-54 as of 2 p.m.

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Overall Outlook to January 1

December 14th, 2014 at 10:42 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

After low clouds/fog/mist today with 50s (hopefully a few breaks/holes in the overcast) & 40s tonight, we will get to 52 tomorrow, but reached 40s, then fall some late in the day Tuesday.

Next system will bring an extended period of rain, drizzle & fog over the area.  It looks as if it is coming in earlier & may be at the state line by noon Monday.  Periodic rain & even drizzle & fog will be with us through Tuesday late afternoon.

Despite duration, rainfall intensity will be low enough, it appears, to keep totals in the 0.25-0.40″ range.

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NO Arctic outbreaks can be seen through January 1, though temperatures will run a bit below normal before & after Christmas (27-33).

In fact, we may see a warm up to the 40s, perhaps 50 (with rain) just before New Years, the way in looks right now.

We will continue to watch the two pre-Christmas systems for any snowfall here.


Very Mild Night

December 13th, 2014 at 10:54 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

With drier regime, I actually saw some farmers plowing ground near Colfax & Clark’s Hill  & around Thorntown today.

Tonight is quite mild for mid-December with 45 as of 10:54 p.m. at WLFI after 49 today.  We will not really fall much tonight.

In fact, we may have RAIN not SNOW as far north as central Ontario by early in the week with no real cold available.

Low clouds/fog will dominate tonight with lots of low clouds tomorrow.  I am hopeful of a few breaks/holes in the overcast tomorrow, like today.  Highs will run in the 50s.

With 50s Monday & lots of clouds, showers will overspread area Monday evening & last into Tuesday.  Highs Tuesday will drop to the 40s.  Looks like a 0.25-0.40″ total rainfall at the moment.

Still looks like two systems may affect us in the December 20-22 time frame with colder weather.  Coming from the Texas, they may bring snow, but it is unclear whether one or both will affect or neither have a big effect.  Time will tell, but this trend to more wintery weather is noted.  However, there is no sign of any Arctic outbreaks with well-below normal temperatures through at least December 28.

DMA Map II


Holes/Breaks In the Overcast & Warmer…….Two Systems To Watch For Snow Before Christmas

December 13th, 2014 at 2:38 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

We a getting holes & breaks in the overcast today!  It has also warmed nicely & will be even warmer tomorrow.  It is mild over much of the eastern U.S. with 47 right now at Minneapolis.  Way north at Fargo, North Dakota it is 43!

My hope is that we can mix enough dry air in to mix out more & more low clouds tomorrow after potential of some fog in the morning.

Our low temperature tonight, Sunday night & Monday night will be warmer than the normal daytime high for this time of year.  Normal high is in the mid to upper 30s.  Lows will run near 44.

DMA Map II

After 50s Sunday & Monday with perhaps breaks in the overcast, showers are likely Monday night to Tuesday with 40s.

Wednesday-Thursday looks mostly cloudy with 37-44.

There are two systems to watch before Christmas near December 20-22.  With colder air coming in & a track northeastward from Texas, snow potential continues to exist here.

 

 


Tornado Confirmed Near Downtown Los Angeles

December 13th, 2014 at 12:33 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

QLCS produced a confirmed EF0 tornado near downtown Los Angeles on Friday morning.  A waterspout was also reported southeast of Long Beach.

Tornado Warnings occurred as far north as Fresno, California Friday, where a funnel cloud was reported southwest of Fresno.  At Bakersfield, 2000 almond trees were flattened by damaging winds.

Video from the tornado (all cuss words are bleeped out, but still be aware if you do not want to hear the bleeps!):

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
451 PM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 AM     TORNADO          5 SSW DOWNTOWN LOS ANGE 33.97N 118.33W
12/12/2014                   LOS ANGELES        CA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A SMALL TORNADO EF0 CREATED DAMAGE IN SOUTH LOS ANGELES
            FROM THE INTERSECTION OF S. VERMONT AVE AND W. GAGE AVE
            TO 57TH STREET AND S. FIQUEROA ST. DAMAGE REPORTED
            INCLUDES, AN APARTMENT COMPLEX ROOF, TREES, TWO
            RESIDENTIAL ROOFS, AND DAMAGE TO A STEEL BILLBOARD. EF0
            WINDS SPEEDS RANGE FROM 65 TO 85 MPH.


Becoming Foggy with Temperatures On a Slow Rise

December 12th, 2014 at 10:02 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Temperatures are on a slow rise into/toward the mid 30s.

With low overcast, some dense fog is likely tonight, along with some mist/light drizzle.  Watch for a few slick spots in areas that stay at 32 for a longer period of time overnight (northeastern areas).

Tomorrow looks rather cloudy with light fog/haze with southwesterly winds & 44-48.

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Air Quality Issues with Strong Inversion

December 12th, 2014 at 4:02 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

“Dirty High” & inversion is not only making it overcast & foggy with some mist/drizzle/freezing drizzle, but it is trapping pollution at the surface.  This is making for unhealthy air quality for sensitive individuals.

Although the alert is technically only in effect for Howard & Boone counties in our area, pollution issues will increase tonight-tomorrow, especially in larger communities.

AIR QUALITY ALERT MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
302 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2014

INZ031-037-039>041-046>048-054>056-067-140000-
HOWARD-BOONE-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KOKOMO...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...
INDIANAPOLIS...SHELBYVILLE...VINCENNES
302 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2014

...AN AIR QUALITY ACTION DAY HAS BEEN DECLARED...

THE OFFICIALS AT THE INDIANA DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
HAVE CALLED FOR AN AIR QUALITY ACTION DAY ON SATURDAY...DECEMBER
13TH AND SUNDAY...DECEMBER 14TH FOR THE FOLLOWING INDIANA COUNTIES...

MARION...HAMILTON...MADISON...DELAWARE...HANCOCK...SHELBY...JOHNSON...
MORGAN...HOWARD...HENDRICKS...BOONE AND KNOX.

FINE PARTICULATE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE ORANGE OR
UNHEALTHY FOR SENSITIVE GROUPS RANGE.


Fog/Stratus Deck

December 12th, 2014 at 2:41 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Low stratus/fog deck continues over th area, though downsloping off the Ozark Plateau is mixin out the stratus/fog over southern Illinois & residual dry ais around Nor’Easter is found in Ohio.

The fog is condensing into light drizzle/freezing drizzle/mist over part of the area.  This may dampen pavement & lead to a few slick spots.

Low clouds/fog tonight with southerly winds will keep temperature steady around 32, followed by slow rise to the mid 30s late.

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