It was one cold, frosty morning!
Good news farmers!
The pattern STILL looks pretty dry through May 9. The ONLY exception would be tomorrow. However, it still does not necessarily look like A LOT of rain, RIGHT NOW. I still think the main rains will fall with the severe weather south of our area. Current data suggests that the heaviest, most widespread rainfall of the two waves here would be in the morning. After 60-66 today, highs Saturday will run from 50 in the far north to around 61 in the far south.
0.35-0.70″ of rainfall seems reasonable based on the data in front of me from mainly two main waves of showers & perhaps a few isolated t’storms. We may have a few dry hours centered around midday-early afternoon between the two waves.
Also, we may get most of the rain out by evening, though confidence is not high that will will eradicate ALL of the rain by then. My hope is that we will not need to increase these totals. That would happen if a zone of heavier rainfall develops in a zone of lift well north of the warm front in the area.
However, after Saturday, I see very little rainfall or very little rainfall response until perhaps around May 8.
Clouds will increase today, followed by a few showers developing tonight & two main waves of showers & a few isolated t’storms Saturday.
Surface warm front will set up south of our area, it may get close enough to push the I-74 corridor to 60 briefly, while the southern part of the state to Kentucky will see 70s to near 80.
Severe weather is likely there with conditions favorable for a few tornadoes.
Sunday looks better as skies partially clear with patchy frost Saturday night. Sunday looks better with partly cloudy skies & 58-63 then patchy frost & 35-39 Sunday night.
Some showers have been the forecast trend for Tuesday, but new data is strongly suggesting very little, if any rainfall as any showers track southwest of our area.
That said, made Monday-Friday of next week dry with sun each day & highs in the 60s Monday-Wednesday & 70s Thursday-Friday. Monday-Wednesday looks rather breezy each afternoon with gusts to 25 mph from the northeast & east.
In fact, next weekend-May 8, there is very little rainfall. There may be just a bit next Saturday with highs in the 70s to near 80, then dry & 70s Sunday.
As for next Monday-Friday, it looks dry, other than perhaps a couple showers early Wednesday morning. Highs will run in the 70s in 80s with overnight lows in the 50s & 60s.
By May 9-11, highs in the 80s & severe weather potential with more substantial rainfall is likely.
So, for farmers, it is catch up on sleep now, then go full throttle for many days ahead!
Thoughts are that after this wet period, we may cool to the 60s around May 13 for highs with a few days of dry weather, before more action with rain/storms returns May 16-17 as yet another upper low rounds the southwest U.S. ridge & pivots through Kansas & Missouri.