After light freezing fog, frost & lows in the single digits to around 10 tonight, highs of 34-40 are likely for Wednesday. Clouds will be on the increase with skies going partly cloudy.
Wind will increase from the southeast & south-southeast at 10-15 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY NIGHT……………
By Wednesday night, skies will go cloudy. Temperatures may drop to 32-35 in the evening, but a rise to 36-41 is likely by early Thursday morning as some scattered showers arrive. Winds will turn southerly & south-southwesterly at 15-30 mph.
The highs of 37-43 will likely be Thursday morning to perhaps as late as midday, followed by falling temperatures into the lower & middle 30s. Scattered rain showers may end as scattered snow showers late afternoon-evening to Thursday night. Any accumulation would be patchy & very minor, it appears.
Winds of 20-40 mph are likely Thursday-Thursday night from southwest early Thursday, before turning westerly by midday, then northwesterly in the afternoon & evening.
After teens Thursday night, skies look partly to mostly cloudy Friday with highs in the 25-30 range. It still looks windy even into Friday with north-northwest winds of 20-35 mph.
With partly to mostly cloudy skies Saturday, lows in the teens early (winds will go light Friday night) will give way to highs in the 26-32 range. It looks rather breezy with south-southwest winds at 10-20 mph.
Skies will likely go overcast Saturday night with lows in the 20s with south-southwest winds at 5-10 mph going east-southeast at 5-10 mph.
It looks as if snow will overspread the area from southwest to northeast during the morning Sunday with temperatures in the upper 20s. East-southeast winds look to run 5-10 mph.
In the afternoon, winds may go east, then east-northeast & increase to 15-25 mph with temperatures around 30 with widespread snow.
Sunday evening-night winds looks strong with northeast winds at 20-30 mph 7 p.m. to 12 a.m. going northerly at 25-40 mph. A temperature drop from around 28 to 11 may occur between 7 p.m. & 7 a.m.
At the moment, it looks as if a 5-8″ snow MAY be in the offing. HOWEVER, this is far out. We will continue to monitor.
Blowing & drifting will become a significant issue Sunday evening-night-Monday with these expected winds.
The snow may taper by Monday afternoon, but temperatures will struggle to get to the mid & perhaps upper teens. Northwest winds at 20-40 mph will make for a rough day.
If we clear out next Monday night, we could easily drop below zero with wind chills to -20. Right now, I have gone with single digits.
Tuesday is looking colder. At this point, 12 may be generous. Some data suggests highs in single digits, even 0. I went ahead with near 12 for now.
A brief clipper may bring minor snowfall accumulation & highs in the 20s Wednesday. At this point, 1-3″ MAY occur. Winds may gust from the southwest & west to 30 mph with it.
NEXT WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY…………..
Low temperatures may drop below zero & highs may struggle to get to 12.
I would not be surprised to see -15 in some places.
Another clipper is possible with perhaps a minor 1-2″ snow. Winds look pretty strong with it with gusts to 30 mph.
We may have some accumulating snowfall at this time, but it looks minor at the moment. There could be mix/icing with this system, too.
Temperatures look to moderate as we approach Valentine’s Day. In fact, I would be surprised to see us get to the 40-50 range over the viewing area near Valentine’s Day with perhaps some rain & a big meltdown of the snowpack.
There are signs of a shot of very cold air blasting in after Valentine’s Day. During cold snap, precipitation looks above normal, so it is conceivable that we may have another snow.
Following the burst of cold, it really looks towards a trend of a pretty strong subtropical ridge will develop from Virginia to Tennessee to Texas with spring-like temperatures.
My thinking is that this may overspread our area for a couple days in late February with a couple of spring-like days in the 50s to perhaps lower 60s.
I also think that this brief spurt of warmth may end with rain here & perhaps a severe weather event in the southern U.S.