Happy Father’s Day to all of you dads out there! This was my first & extra special!
I hope everyone had a great weekend!
THIS PAST WEEKEND:
The weather has been pretty good. We had the leftovers of Iowa MCS Saturday morning-early afternoon, then a few spotty showers/storms in the afternoon, but a cluster of storms in Illinois stayed away & weakened. MCS that passed lastnight was in weakening phase. After 80 Saturday, our low lastnight was only 67.
Even today, there were a few spotty storms, but the main complex of showers & storms was southern Illinois & Indiana, into Kentucky. At this hour, storms are over central & eastern Missouri & Kentucky with quite a bit of severe weather in the central & southern Plains.
Our high today surged to 82 late in the day after staying in the upper 70s for most of the afternoon.
Tonight: Patchy fog is possible in places with some passing clouds at times. Low will drop to near 65.
Monday: Skies will run partly cloudy with southwest to west breeze. Scattered showers & storms are possible late afternoon-evening-overnight. Right now, severe threat is low, but it will be monitored. Highs will run 85-90 with heat index at 87-95.
Tuesday-Thursday: These days look dry with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies & highs from near 80 to the mid 80s with dew points near 60 to the lower 60s. So, it will be warm, but at least not humid. The nights look pretty comfortable with lows of 57-61.
Friday-Monday: The heat & humidity will crank up during this time with highs of 87-92 & heat indices of 90-96. Overnights will be muggy with warm, humid low of 68-73.
Much of the widespread storm action may stay to our west, but it appears some scattered storms will be possible Friday-Sunday (30% coverage daily). These storms look multi-cellular & not especially organized.
Beyond Next Tuesday to June 28: Some scattered storms are still possible Tuesday, but cold front will pass Wednesday, June 26. That would be the next best potential of widespread storms & potential severe threat.
Nice surface high June 27-28 looks to bring nice weather with sun & highs near 82 with north & northeast wind.
June 29-July 4: Wind turn back to the east & southeast on June 29 with 80s, but a few showers/storms are possible as south winds & muggy, tropical flow returns June 30-July 1. These do not look widespread or organized, however. Of note is the potential of tropical storm/hurricane activity in the eastern Pacific & perhaps in the Gulf of Mexico. This is tied to tendency of a lot of disturbed weather in the Gulf down the road a bit.
Overall, the pattern July 2-4 looks rather hot, muggy, tropical with some scattered storms each day with dew points in the 70s & highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Forecast, outlook & trends will continue to be monitored with tweaks made as new data flows in……..stay tuned……