Some holes may develop in the low overcast tonight. Where those holes develop & last the longest, frosty conditions with some freezing fog & lows near 20 are likely. Where clouds hang on, lows in the mid to upper 20s are likely.
Tomorrow, wind will not be much of an issue with partly to mostly cloudy skies & highs of 36-43.
The wind will kick up Saturday with southwest winds at 15-30 mph & highs of 37-46 with mostly cloudy skies.
With the split flow pattern & us being dominated by the polar jet’s clippers, there is no big, moisture-laden storm seen here through the weekend. Where the polar/subtropical jets merge, southern storm will blow up into East Coast Nor’Easter with heavy snowfall for the coastal Northeast. More than a foot may fall in some areas.
Sunday looks windy with southwest winds at 15-30 mph going westerly & northwesterly late. Highs of 37-45 look good with scattered rain showers moving in.
They may mix with wet snow late in the day-evening as temperatures fall some.
However, second clipper may bring accumulating snowfall Sunday night-Monday morning. Right now, looks like the main band of significant snowfall would be northeast of our viewing area. There 3-6″ may fall. Here, some minor accumulating snowfall is possible with the potential of parts of the viewing area getting a couple of inches.
Winds will be brisk at 15-30 mph Sunday night-Monday, so what snow does fall may blow & drift some.
We will continue to monitor.
We will get clipped by a chunk of COLD air that will largely affect the Northeast U.S. It will be noticeably colder here, however, with the lowest overnight lows since January 16 & the coldest highs since January 14.
One clipper looks to pass Wednesday with the potential of minor accumulating snowfall, while the Thursday one looks like snow, then rain & snow.
These two may work to pull a chunk of COLD air in.
Again, the area to watch for significant winter weather is the Northeast, as pattern favors Nor’Easter development.
The big system to watch for us really may originate in northern Mexico near Thursday, January 29. This storm could spread heavy snowfall & blizzard over the southern Rockies & higher elevations of the Southwest U.S. with heavy rains in the valleys. Heavy 2-4″ rainfall could fall on central-eastern Texas by January 31 with heavy snowfall possible Oklahoma to northwestern Texas into New Mexico.
By the evening of January 31, it appears that heavy rain of several inches may be falling eastern Texas to Mississippi to Arkansas. Heavy snowfall may be falling from Oklahoma to northwestern Arkansas to Missouri. Center of the surface low may be near New Orleans, but upper low near Texarkana, Arkansas.
By Sunday afternoon, February 1, the surface low may be near Birmingham, Alabama with snow from Arkansas to Indiana.
Trends put this storm offshore from Delaware with no Nor’Easter development by early Monday, February 2. At this point, data puts Arctic high from North Dakota to Texas with due north winds & cold weather North Dakota to Indiana to the Gulf Coast.
Strong Arctic high will move over area by the morning of February 3. With potential snow pack, temperatures could drop well below 0.
Southwest winds & icy mix may occur around February 6.
Overall, trends support colder, snowier pattern before there is great moderation by Valentine’s Day.