Highs near 58 degrees will occur Saturday, Sunday & Monday.

It appears a coastal low will rapidly develop Friday & peak over the weekend with ALOT of heavy rain in the southern U.S.

The deep tropical connection this low may ingest will producing some flooding rain the South.

Like “Ida” it may suck up alot of moisture from the Gulf & scour it pretty clean of moisture.

Recovery of Gulf moisture would be in question IF THAT DOES HAPPEN.  That said, if the Gulf is scoured clean & unable to re-charge, then our rainfall totals of 1-2″ may be cut next week.

This may or may not happen & much more analysis will need to be done over the weekend to determine this.

Nonetheless, the coldest air of the season looks likely to arrive late next week………..most likely on Thanksgiving night & Black Friday.

It appears flurries & at least some snow showers will pivot in on Black Friday with gusty northwest winds.

This potent cold snap will last 2-3 days, before it retreats & temperatures of 48-54 return the week thereafter.

I will have a new entry after the newscast on the forecast through Thanksgiving with brand-new data………..

For those of you who keep records &/or want to know how November is shaping up, here are the records I take here at WLFI.

I have been taking weather records back home since 1993 & I enjoy taking them here at the station.

The daily highs, lows & precipitation can be seen on my almanac page in my weathercasts.  We will show it just before commercial if my producer & director have enough time in the show for it.

“Altocumulus undulatus asperatus”………………..that is the new “species” name proposed for a very interesting cloud type.

I have seen these several times before in Indiana in varying decrease of odd shape & undulating waves.

They are caused by turbulent, sharp changes in wind direction & speed at that cloud’s level.  This may dynamically-induced or induced by evaporative cooling by precipitation.

Also, I have found that they most often occur when the lower atmosphere is very dry, the mid-levels are slightly unstable & showers are precipitating from the clouds into the dry lower atmosphere.

THIS IS AN ACTIVE PATTERN UNTIL THANKSGIVING WITH 3 WEATHER SYSTEMS FROM NOW-THEN (COUNTING THE CURRENT SYSTEM) WITH SOAKING RAIN.

THE TEMPERATURES LOOK RELATIVELY MILD UNTIL AROUND THANKSGIVING.

AT THAT POINT, A SIGNIFICANT CHUNK OF COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF THE FIRST SNOWFLAKES & THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON.

THE EXACT TIMING OF THE THANKSGIVING PERIOD SYSTEM, COLD & SNOWFLAKES IS STILL IN QUESTION, SO STAY TUNED…………

It will continue to be showery through Thursday.  However, the coverage of rain will continue to decrease with time.

All of that storminess & the huge blizzard in Alaska (which is affecting the Pacific Northwest now) pump mild temperatures into our area by Friday & Saturday.

The next system after the current one, will arrive next Monday & Tuesday after that mild stretch Friday & Saturday.

Robust Gulf connection will promote widespread rainfall across our area.

The Thanksgiving period system looks potent with the possibility of an outbreak of severe t’storms in the Southeast U.S.

The cold continues & will continue to build.

That expanding ridge may act as the bump needed to dislodge the frigid air south.

Chunk of cold is likely to arrive at or right after Thanksgiving.

As potent storm system departs, the coldest air of the season, strong northwest winds & the first snow showers & flurries of the season will pivot in.

Hey everyone!  I sure have missed forecasting & working on my blog. 

It is great to be back in the saddle!  I got in a little later than anticipated early this morning, so I am running a bit behind.

This wet, active, windy weather pattern has arrived with a good 1-2.5″ of rain area-wide in the past 2 days.  More weather systems are on their way.  By the way, that major Alaskan storm is hitting British Columbia, Washington & Oregon.  Winds have been gusting to 90 mph on the Oregon Coast with10″ of rain projected with 8′ of snow in the mountains.  In fact, Avalanche Watches are likely from Alaska to Washington by late week!

Our system is quite vigorous, too with 2 waves of heavy rain & east wind gusts clocked to 35 mph this morning!

I will have a new entry out this evening……………………it does look quite interesting around here now-Thanksgiving!

THIS IS THE ONLY TIME THIS BLOG WILL BE UPDATED UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT…….I AM HEADED OUT-OF-STATE & WILL NOT RETURN UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT…………..

First weather system is projected to arrive Monday among most models.  This rain is projected to last into Tuesday.

However, there are now indications that some of the models are slowing the system down.

IF this occurs, it would hold the rain off until Monday night, Tuesday, even possibly a bit later.

Stay tuned, this may or may not happen & as the exact outcome is still in question.

However, I am keeping the rain coming in on Monday until further evidence arrives & I see the need to change the forecast.

Another a system is likely to affect us with wind & rain Thursday-Friday & temperatures in the 50s & 60s.

Yet another system is due late next weekend with rain & wind.

It appears a significant chunk of cold air may affect us by Thanksgiving.

Monday will be the beginning of a very active pattern with a weather system every 1-2 days through Thanksgiving.

Each one looks moisture-charged with surge of juicy tropical moisture feeding each one via the Pacific & Gulf.

Alot of this juicy connection can be traced to the moisture-charged subtropical jet due to El Nino.

It appears alot of these systems will break off from persistent storminess in Alaska.  This storminess may be attributed to two old typhoons arriving in Alaska.

Disturbances breaking off each one of these 2 blizzards (old typhoons) will develop numerous storm systems.

We will have several brief cold snaps, but several nice mild periods with the rain, in between.

Following this very active pattern, it appears trough in Alaska & North Pacific will move & a ridge will expand & could dislodge a chunk of the bitter cold southward.

This cold may affect us by Thanksgiving.

It was a cold, frosty morning with Morocco, Winamac, West Lafayette COOP Station & Galveston experiencing their coldest morning of the season!

Lows This Morning:

After a wet, cold October, the first 11 days of November have been the driest since 1999 .  This has been accompanied by our average temperature running 5.7 degrees above normal here at WLFI.

Only a trace of precipitation has been recorded here at WLFI & this is the story over the entire area.  Our northwestern counties have had the most with around 0.10″ total for the month.  Even this is the lowest amount during the first 11 days since 1999.

It appears the next widespread, soaking rain will fall Monday.  Current guidance supports 0.75-1″ with gusty winds of up to 32 mph with this potent storm system.

WLFI-TV Weather Records for First 11 Days of November: