T’Storm Outlook For the Next Week

May 12th, 2013 at 6:56 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

PRETTY WIDESPREAD FROST TONIGHT………

It looks like pretty widespread frost tonight.  Given dew points near 24 right now (with 56 degrees), clear skies & calm winds, I think there will be quite a bit of frost in the morning.

Late lastnight & this morning, there was a northwest wind at 5-8 mph, which helped, but it was still cold.  Tonight, the potential is much greater for sensitive plants to be affected.

I would not be surprised to see areas of Pulaski & Cass to even Jasper counties (perhaps even to eastern Carroll) to drop to 32 degrees.  Everyone else will run 33-36.

ADI Map IIADI Map IIIADI Map IIII

WARMEST WEATHER OF THE YEAR SO FAR………….

Looks dry until Thursday, when cold front will approach, then stall just north of the viewing area.  Summer-like 80s will be with us Tuesday & Wednesday after Monday’s high of 64.  Wednesday looks to be the warmest day of the year so far with highs near 85.

567dADI Map IIV

THURSDAY-SUNDAY……..T’STORM & SEVERE OUTLOOK……….

Several rounds of showers & t’storms, beginning Thursday & ending Sunday will pass through with dry, warm, humid weather in-between.  Highs will run, on average (after near 85 Wednesday) around 80 Thursday-Friday with 82 Saturday & 85 Sunday.  Next Monday’s high looks to be around 69 with a low Tuesday morning around 44.

Severe weather threat will be monitored, though it is unclear when the potential of severe storms will occur given model discrepencies.  However, current data points to at least some sort of severe threat in one or two rounds of the t’storms in our viewing area.

Still looks like a total of 1-3″ of rainfall Thursday-Sunday.  That has not changed over the past week.

qwr

EARLY NEXT WEEK………….

After the front passes next Sunday evening, conditions will dry & cool.  Highs will drop back to a bit below-normal (normal at that time:  73/51)……………..as seen in that high of 69 & lows near 44 Monday.

STAY TUNED AS WE CONTINUALLY MONITOR & TWEAK THE FORECAST OVER THE COMING DAYS AS NEW DATA ARRIVES………

2 Responses to “T’Storm Outlook For the Next Week”

  1. Thanks, Chad! I’m sure you saw to it that Liz had a wonderful Mother’s Day :-) !! I certainly did and hope the other mothers on the blog did as well.

    MA in REM

  2. JEM says:

    I am hoping with this frost tomatoes can finally go in the ground without too much fear.

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