Timing of Heaviest Rainfall & Look at Severe Threat Placement NearbyApril 4th, 2013 at 11:43 am by Chad Evans under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog
TIMING OF RAINFALL (& THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL)…………
Its looking more & more like much of the rainfall headed our way will be next week, with not too much late this weekend.
In fact, the heaviest rains are looking more & more like they may fall around Wednesday.
This said, will keep a few showers/t’showers in the forecast for Saturday night-Sunday with 20-30% coverage (so some of you will stay dry).
It appears showers & t’storms will pass in a periodic fashion Monday-Thursday morning with the heaviest rainfall centered around Wednesday.
2-3″ of total rainfall still looks good by Thursday morning.
Temperatures look a bit above normal from the weekend, into next week from around 71 Saturday to near 66 Sunday, now 65 Monday, 67 Tuesday & Wednesday to 62 Thursday. Normal high & low temperature is near 60 & 39 for this period.
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK……….
In terms of severe weather, quite an outbreak of severe weather is likely from Kansas to Oklahoma, parts of Texas & Arkansas late in the weekend to early in the week with a migration of it eastward from the Ohio River to Gulf Coast. I think there will be some confirmed tornadoes in Kansas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee & Alabama Sunday night-Wednesday given wind fields & potential of Moderate SPC severe risk. The greatest potential of stronger tornadoes of EF3 & greater strength looks to be Oklahoma, Kansas, Arkansas & Mississippi, however.
Right now, it looks as if the severe threat will remain south of our viewing area, but we will continue to monitor for the potential of it migrating northward.