Update Regarding Monday Night-Tuesday Night ForecastMarch 3rd, 2013 at 12:00 am by Chad Evans under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog
I originally went for 1″ or less here Monday night-Tuesday with the heaviest snowfall in a band northwest to southwest & south of us.
It looks like now the heaviest snowfall will be west & northwest of us with 6-8″ in Iowa & parts of Illinois. I doubt heaviest snowfall will extend south of us. It will likely re-develop well east of us as system undergoes a rapid metamorphisis & intensification on the East Coast.
Here, I feel the need to go from 1″ or less to 1-4″ with the heaviest amounts most likely in the northern areas.
Some snow would likely fall Monday night, but may change to rain Tuesday for part of the area with snow Tuesday night. The 1-4″ amount would be the final storm total.
If I need to alter this, I will, but I still do not agree with the model output of 5-10″ for our area. That is just too high & does not match similar systems over the past 30 years.
The system is actually a strong Alberta Clipper (full of dynamics) that will eventually undergo that metamorphisis of energy transfer towards a developing Nor’Easter on the East Coast that may bring over 17″ of snow to parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Alleghanies &/or Northeast. This, after state records for snowfall were broken in February in Oklahoma & Missouri. One town in Oklahoma set the new state record for snowfall in February with over 42″!