Flood Watch for Most of Area: 1-3″ Rainfall Now-Wednesday Morning (Good Chunk of It Tuesday Night)

January 28th, 2013 at 11:30 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

FLOOD WATCH………….

Flood Watch is in effect for nearly all of viewing area except Benton, Newton, Jasper, per NWS.

1-3″ of rainfall is likely now-Wednesday morning, leading to areas of flooding in fields, low-lying areas & areas around creeks & streams.  Wabash will rise above flood stage again by late week-weekend.

QLCS SQUALL LINE……….& NEAR-RECORD WARMTH………..

Still looks like QLCS squall line of storms will pass Tuesday night-early Wednesday morning.  The western half of the viewing area may see some sporadic damaging straight-line wind gusts as it passes of +58 mph along & west of a line from Winamac to Dayton to Darlington.  Accompanying the line will be lots of rain, which may lead to areas of flash flooding.

Most likely mode with QLCS would be some localized bowing segments/”S”-shaped appendages in the line.

If dew points can get higher than forecast 55-58 numbers, than will need to talk about isolated EF0-EF1 tornado threat in any “S”-shaped LEWPS or meso-vortices in the line.  Currently think isolated tornado threat may get as far north as Evansville or Princeton, Indiana (southwest Indiana) given higher dew points there over +80 mph low-level jet (ribbon of south/southwest wind at 5,000′) & nicely curving hodographs (changing wind direction with height).  I have found 60-degree dew point is usuallly the threshold for cool-season tornado touchdown, as is an air temperature of 60 with low-level jet like this present.

Tornado event is very likely Arkansas, Mississippi, Louisiana & east Texas Tuesday p.m.-night in one of those typical Delta/Dixie Alley cool-season severe outbreaks.

Temperatures will be very mild in the 50s tonight & reach 60s tomorrow with a peak of mid 60s by tomorrow night in part of the viewing area.

SOME FLURRIES/SNOW SHOWERS & ARCTIC BLAST……….

With some flurries/snow showers Wednesday evening-night, Arctic Blast will roar in with highs in the teens to end the week & overnight lows in the single digits.  No substantial accumulation of snow is currently expected.

Otherwise, temperatures will moderate back to 30s next week.  Some flurries/snow showers are possible Saturday, but no substantial accumulation is currently expected.

 

14 Responses to “Flood Watch for Most of Area: 1-3″ Rainfall Now-Wednesday Morning (Good Chunk of It Tuesday Night)”

  1. Doug in Flora says:

    Well…Indiana cannot be accused of having bland weather. ;-)

  2. Cantore says:

    Once, just once, I would like to see this 1-2 inches of rain that we get in January actually be snow! Ok, more than once, but once this year.

  3. JEM says:

    I will take all the moisture we can get – in any form – we need to refill the ground water tables as soon as we can. Especially if the late summer is lining up to be dry again.

  4. Ryan H says:

    A chance of severe weather. It puts me in the mood for spring!

  5. Jim says:

    Chad welcome back. Have 2 questions. What is the chance for snow this week. ? Also what happened to the ice situation yesterday. Never heard. Did it dry up on the way to ground?

  6. mad man from afghanistan says:

    2 to 3 inches of rain from mon to wed , if this was snow this place would be buried, but like always it isnt snow. This suxs end of story, i mean its winter time last time i checked, this kinda weather makea for a lot of sick folks, what a shame.

  7. Chad Evans says:

    Hey there Jim,

    Good question, but I was out of any weather loop for the entire weekend, so I would have to go back & check through all of the data to find out about the ice.

    Thanks to everyone. It is good to be back refreshed after spending the best quality time with my family. You can never, ever get that back!

    -Chad

  8. Chad Evans says:

    I should have write-ups on the snow event last week though here soon.

    Found out some very interesting things on what the U.S. models appear to be having a tough time with & how it affected our forecast.

    Very interesting!

  9. Jim says:

    Mad man what’s up ? Still think snow maybe wed don’t know asked the man . Chad is also looking into the ice situation to see if it dried up.

  10. Jim says:

    Thanks for the work Chad it seems something isn’t going right model wise. We had ice from 2-3 yesterday no way it was all day it seems it never git go us. Thus my drying question.

  11. Teri says:

    Measured 0.23″ of rain so far in Lafayette..sure doesn’t feel like it is 50* out, feels much colder. Glad you had a nice weekend Chad:)

  12. Jim says:

    The Nws is slow visibility near 0 I’m in Benton County. Fog anyone?

  13. Crista says:

    Im giving up on any big snow….and Im like Ryan.H. I love storms and I will be in the mood for Spring. If it isnt going to snow….then I hope we have an early Spring.

  14. Tom says:

    I wouldn’t give up on the big snow Crista! Don’t count on an early Spring, because I don’t think that’s going to happen.

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