Thursday P.M. – Friday A.M.
January 21st, 2013 at 1:30 pm by Chad Evans under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog
Never take models for total face value…….I’m looking at the dynamic support & nice lift in the SGZ (Snow Growth Zone) Thursday p.m.-Friday a.m., which is why I prefer 4-6″ with some mix in southeast & south. I say mix in south & southeast because it still appears tongue of 0-2C air at 850 mb (5000′) will make it to I-74.
Impressive dendritic growth & snow ratios of 15:1 support more snow. Analog data showing similar situations shows a large statistical likelihood of more snow.
80-90 mph mid & upper winds with impressive mid-level vertical velocities & a 60-80 mph baroclinically-induced low-level jet nosing up into the Ohio Valley should promote a few hours of moderate to heavy snowfall as upper trough swings in. SGZ zone temperatures & moisture sure look ample for the prolific dendrite production. Also noticed frontogenical forcing with temperatures of -9C in our northwestern counties to 2C in our south in the 850-700 mb zone.
I’ve thrown out the NAM model, as it is not handling the cold air well & the GFS has too little snow here.
Will continue watch.
How much for wl?
I’ll believe it when I see it.
I think im gonna don a speedo and find the neareat lake and jump in any takers, lol
Dont worry hoosierites snow and plenty of it will be on tap for thursday and fri!
How much for monticello chad,?
Speedos..they should be outlawed…no matter how hot the guy is…lol
And I am still skeptical about the snow. But folks seem intense about it…so Ill plan on snow..
Found my speedos, time to head to the lake freeman…
Speedos outlawed Crista what do you prefer? As for the snow Chads thinking is way better than these models so its looking better. For thurs fri
Oh come on Jim, lol, speedos rock bro, so whats the SWAG for thursday and fri jim? Swag means scientific wild ass guess.
Delphi has called a 2HR delay for tomorrow already!!
Im going with Chad as I remember a year or two ago the NWS was calling for a huge snow and Chad said it wasnt going to hit. Chad was right on! He seems to be in tune for the most part. And I like swimming trunks over speedos. All I can visualize in Speedos is that old hairy guy on the whiskey commercial..
Trust me christa im not that guy….. I hope chads snowcast is a good one too
You dont seem like that guy…lol.
And we need a break in the hum drum weather…its been so dull!
I am told that i am rather attractive, yeah this weather is pretty BORING, i mean its cold so why not have an all out blizzard ya know, the weather is here for it, so mother nature needs to satisfy our needs for snow and lots of it.
You know it’s bad, when you see polar bears wearing parkas…;-)
I hurd that doug, lol
Mad man. 2-3 inches where you living at?
Gfs supports 4-6 inches. I think chad has better sources. Looks like thurs night is problem time what you say chad mad man looks good
Just watched chads forecast, things are looking great for 4 to 6, this storm is coming from minnesota, soit can not track to southern indiana, haha, its our turn now, soithern indiana had theres already.
Gfs supports 4-6 inches mad man this may be it. But we have been here before.
Oh jim have some faith will ya, lol, its ours bro, this one is all ours,..