It was a very mild day with the warmest temperatures since December 20.  We hit 49.6 degrees at WLFI, Morocco & Covington reached 51.8 degrees!

As of 10:30 p.m., temperatures are near freezing with thickening high cirrus/altostratus across the area & a light east wind.

Two waves of rainfall with a total of 1-2″ by Saturday night still looks on-target for the forecast as of 11 p.m.

So, showers will arrive Thursday by midday-early afternoon with highs near 42.  The showers will increase through the afternoon, followed by widespread, steady rainfall overspreading the area by evening-tomorrow night.  The heaviest rainfall looks to pass late, late tomorrow night-early Friday morning as temperatures rise to near 51.

The rain will exit Friday morning, followed by mostly cloudy skies & brisk, warm south winds as we rise to 55-61.

Rain will return Saturday with a few t’storms mixed in, followed by much colder weather Saturday night with temperatures dropping from 58 to 28.  Some scattered snow showers & flurries are possible late Saturday night Sunday morning.

There continues to be uncertainty regarding snowfall amounts next week due to track, speed of system & process of polar & subtropical jets merging together.  I like keeping accumulating snow &/or wintry mix going in the forecast for early next week, with emphasis on Monday.

There is a lot of model wobbling back & forth on storm track, timing & overall mechanics with upper system from southern California & northern Mexico inducing surface low formation in northern Gulf, but snow &/or mix is good bet.

Flooding will be an evolving story from Arkansas & Mississippi to Tennessee & Kentucky from all of these systems.

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