Outlook to December 18November 15th, 2012 at 11:28 pm by Chad Evans under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog
Still looks like a pretty dry, mild pattern largely to December 3 with lots of 50s to even 60 or 61 & some 40s.
Much of the moisture will be wrapped up in a very active subtropical jet running from California to Georgia & Florida with strong “Pineapple Express” originating in central Pacific. This deep moisture has origins in the El Nino Modoki (anomalously-warm water in central Pacific) & the MJO, which has an area of enhanced rainfall across the western & central Pacific right now (this MJO enhancement helped bring the extremely active tropical season with typhoon after typhoon in the western Pacific this summer & fall.)
Much of the moisture will be wrapped up in this over the southwestern & southern U.S., with us being in the middle of a split flow, resulting in dry, mild, pleasant weather.
Big changes are on tap December 4-11 with below-normal temperatures & what could be the first accumulating snow around December 10.
After this, there may be a warm-up as we get around December 18.