Major Tornado Outbreak West of Here Saturday……Tonight-Monday Rain/Storm Timing

April 13th, 2012 at 3:00 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

SEVERE PLACEMENT TONIGHT-MONDAY…….

Some tornadoes & large hail are possible in Kansas & Oklahoma this evening-tonight.  However, the main event will be tomorrow to our west…….

There is a risk of large, violent, long-track tornadoes in eastern Nebraska to Iowa southwestward to Kansas & Oklahoma Saturday.  Hail to grapefruit size & downburst winds to 100 mph will occur in some of the storms, as well.  Models depict a near-perfect set-up for violent tornadoes………..only missing ingredient is more cold air aloft, but everything else lines up with past violent Plains outbreaks.  A few severe storms may get going in western & central Illinois late Saturday afternoon & evening, but I am not too concerned for us at this time.

Severe weather Sunday will stay to our west from Iowa to Louisiana & I am still not concerned about a severe threat here.  However, we will watch this.

Severe threat Monday looks to be Kentucky southward.

EVENING TO OVERNIGHT & SATURDAY…….

A few showers are possible by this evening (20-25% coverage, not a big deal), followed by a break.

Overnight, showers & t’storms will develop.  These will multiply & congeal into a pretty solid mass of rain & t’storms.  This mass will pass in the 7 a.m. to 12 p.m. time frame Saturday, with a migration of the rainfall northeast & eastward afternoon Saturday. Coverage will peak at 100% by Saturday mid-morning.

Some sun may even start to appear afternoon Saturday with windy & warm conditions (highs 69-75).  However, an additional wave of scattered showers & t’storms may pass by Saturday evening.  Coverage will run at 40%.  This looks to be followed by a break Saturday night with lows only in the lower 60s.

PURDUE FOOTBALL GAME & 5K CHALLENGE AT WEST LAFAYETTE…….

The Purdue spring football game looks to be in better shape than the 5K.  There will be thunder & lightning around with the 5K WITH the rainfall 7 a.m. to noon.  The football game will have the windy, warm, humid conditions with 70s & some sun peeking through.  However, late in the day, a few more showers & storms are possible.  At least there will be a window there, but that window will be afternoon.

SUNDAY…….

Sunday looks partly cloudy, windy, warm & humid with highs of 75-79.  A wave of scattered showers & t’storms is possible late Sunday afternoon-evening with 40% coverage.  A break is likely Sunday night with lows only in the lower 60s.

MONDAY…….

A band of showers & t’storms will pass Monday morning (80%), followed by a break.  A narrow, broken line of showers & t’storms is possible on the actual cold front as it passes in the afternoon (35%).

TUESDAY…….

Tuesday looks windy & cooler with partly cloudy skies & highs of 58-63.

FROST STILL LIKELY NEAR APRIL 22 WITH VERY WARM WEATHER BY AROUND APRIL 28…….

After a brief warm-up to 70s to end next week & go into early next weekend, a brief, sharp cool-down with lows of 30-32 appears likely near April 22.

By around April 28, we could see high temperatures of 83-87 with overnight lows of 64-68.  It will feel more like June as we end April!

 

 

 

2 Responses to “Major Tornado Outbreak West of Here Saturday……Tonight-Monday Rain/Storm Timing”

  1. Sam says:

    It does look really serious for the Plain states tomorrow. In the past few years, I’ve never seen the Storm Prediction Center issue a high risk area one day in advance. Maybe the SPC is being more cautious than before, as they now issue “tornado emergency” if it’s really bad. And our biggest concern is how well things will get watered tomorrow…

  2. Teri says:

    Yikes!!!

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