February, 2012

Windy, Warm Day After a Cold, Frosty Start

February 26th, 2012 at 10:19 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

40-50 mph wind core lined up from Morocco to Kankakee, Bloomington, Peoria & Springfield, Illinois.  Morocco gusted to 44 mph at Morocco, but our eastern counties had gusts to just 25-30 mph.  Fowler’s peak gust was 42 mph, while Frankfort’s peak gust was 35 mph.

Temperatures warmed as many as 35 degrees today after a wintry Saturday of highs only at 28-33 & morning lows of 17-21.

 


Windy Day with Skyrocketing Temperatures

February 26th, 2012 at 12:09 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

South-southwest winds are now sustained at 10-20 mph with gusts reaching as high as 33 mph. Sustained winds of 20-25 mph will arrive in the afternoon with some of the gusts as high as 45-50 mph in places.  Gusts of at least 35 mph will likely occur area-wide, though.

After 15-20 this morning, temperatures are now skyrocketing into the 40s, headed for highs in the 50s.  There have been such wide temperature swings in the eastern U.S.  Bowling Green Kentucky hit 78 degrees Thursday, only to drop to 22 this morning.  Muscle Shoals, in far northern Alabama hit 83 Thursday & dropped to 29 this morning.  Austin, Texas hit 92 Thursday, but their airport dropped to 30 this morning!  For us, it is the big warm up from 19 this morning to 50s today, though!


Some Gusts 45-50 mph Sunday & 50-55 mph Wednesday………Severe Threat Up to I-70 Mid-Week

February 25th, 2012 at 11:30 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

The windy weather will continue (after a calm, frosty & cold Saturday night).  Sustained winds of 25 mph are likely today with some gusts of 45-50 mph.  Wednesday, steady winds at 25-30 mph are likely with gusts to 50 mph, perhaps 55 mph.

Tuesday, Thursday & Friday will have gusts 30-40 mph.

Severe threat appears to be moving north for Tuesday night-Wednesday morning.  It may get as far north as I-70, but certainly the worst will be Arkansas, Tennessee, Mississippi & western Kentucky.  This said, we are still out of the severe threat zone, but showers with embedded t’storms are likely as temperatures warm to 55-61 by Wednesday morning.


Coldest Day In Two Weeks…………..Strong, Windy Storm System Tuesday-Wednesday

February 25th, 2012 at 1:16 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

The breadwinner from the snow showers Friday was near Wheatfield, where a CoCoRHas observer measured 1.5″.  I only had a trace at WLFI.  Jim reported 0.5″ at Kentland.

After the coldest day in two weeks with highs only 29-34, lows tonight will drop into the upper teens to around 20.

Temperatures will sky-rocket Sunday to 49-55 with strong south to south-southwest winds at 25-45 mph.  It will be mostly sunny & certainly mild, but the wind will make it feel a bit cooler & also make running or walking outside a bit difficult.

A strong storm system will bring strong winds & showers/t’storms by Tuesday-Wednesday.  It currently does not appear we will get severe weather from this, but latest model analysis shows shear, dynamics, instability & very warm, moist air (dew points to 60 as far north as Evansville) support what could be a tornado outbreak from Evansville, Indiana to Little Rock, Arkansas & Shreveport, Louisiana Tuesday night.  Will will likely hit our high of 55-61 late Tuesday night-early Wednesday morning with non-t’storm just gradient winds of 25-45 mph (perhaps 50 mph).  System may end as snow as temperatures plummet Wednesday.


Watch for Patchy Black Ice Tonight……Lots of Windy Weather On the Way

February 24th, 2012 at 10:01 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

With falling temperatures & some minor snow accumulation of 1″ or less in places, watch for patchy black ice on some roads tonight.

At 7:25 p.m., the wind gusted to 45 mph behind a departing snow shower here at WLFI.  Wind gusted to 38 mph at the Purdue Airport & 40 mph at Harrison High School.  The highest gust in the viewing area was 48 mph at the I-65/Route 28 INDOT weather station.

There is a lot of windy weather in the forecast with gusts to 35 mph Saturday, 45 mph Sunday (possibly 50 mph), 30 mph Monday & then as high as 45-50 mph by Wednesday.

Even late next week, gusts of 40 mph are possible.

 

 


Scattered Snow Showers Continue

February 24th, 2012 at 6:26 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Scattered snow showers continue to pass with gusty winds to over 30 mph at times.  Accumulations of 1″ or less accumulations are possible.


11th Warmest Winter Since 1870……Next Week’s Outlook Becoming a Bit More Clear

February 24th, 2012 at 2:59 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

So far, we are experiencing the overall 11th warmest winter on record since 1870 in the area.  The warmest winter on record occurred in 1875-76.

Regardless of the warmer weather, snowfall is still running normal to above-normal for all areas, except our western 1/4.

The weather for next week is becoming clearer.  The Monday system will not get here until Tuesday & that will likely be THE main system of the week, rather than 2 or 3 systems.

It appears a very potent storm system will wrap up in the Midwest with the potential of a tornado event in the southeast U.S. to as far north as the Tennessee, perhaps Ohio Valley.

Our temperature will likely RISE Tuesday night to as high as the lower 60s & then fall all day Wednesday.  Given the rise in temperature & dew points, severe weather MAY get in parts of the viewing area.  Some snow may wrap around the backside with 30s, but any accumulation would be minor.

Some data indicates a strong wind event as this system exits with gusts up to 50 mph (perhaps 55-60 mph in Ohio) Wednesday.  This will need to be watched.

A pretty potent cold snap is likely after this, but a big warm-up is still a good bet afterward.  I stil think our first 70 is certainly possible around March 11-12.


Snow Continues In the North…….Winds Gusting to 45 mph

February 24th, 2012 at 2:09 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Snow continues to fall in Jasper, Pulaski, Fulton & parts of White, Cass & Miami counties.  Otherwise, it is widely-scattered snow showers elsewhere.  Our snow showers melted to 0.01″ at WLFI, but it did not accumulate with temperatures in the middle 30s.  Up to 1″ has accumulated in our north, with little, if any accumulation elsewhere.

Up to 9.3″ of snow has fallen on the north side of Chicago.  Doppler radar snow estimates are below.

Wind Advisory continues for our northeastern counties with High Wind Warning in Ohio.


Update

February 23rd, 2012 at 9:10 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

I have received several reports of pea-sized hail from Tippecanoe, White, Clinton & Tipton counties this evening.  Much of the shower/t’shower action is now confined to our northern counties with a few brief showers elsewhere.  So, the small hail threat has ended.

Scattered severe threat will be well southeast of our area tonight.  Quite a bit of warm, dry air (yeah, 80s & 90s from Missouri to Texas to Alabama to Georgia & Tennessee today) gliding over areas where sufficient, juicy dew points exist will prevent a larger event.  Even with this, it has been hard for really juicy 60s dew points to move very far north.  Much of the humid air for storms is getting shunted eastward or……..like I said, capped (even with good upper forcing & very high wind shear numbers).

Snow will continue to slowly pivot southeastward tonight & will pass through Friday morning-afternoon with 1″ or less of accumulation over most of the area.  Since it will not drop below freezing until tomorrow evening, the snow will not stick the best.  higher amounts of 1.5 to 4″ will occur in our far northwest.  Oddly, thundersnow has been reported near Chicago tonight with snow mixed with graupal/small hail at Rockford.

Winds still look gusty tonight-tomorrow with peak gusts up to 40 mph.


Scattered Showers & T’Storms This Evening (Some Hail Possible)

February 23rd, 2012 at 5:19 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Given low freezing levels, some of the showers & t’storms tonight may have some small hail in them this evening-tonight.  Such activity is forming north of the surface warm front with additional showers/t’storms along the cold front & near the center of the surface low tonight.

Severe threat will stay to our southeast, however.  Threat still looks like it will reside as far north as Bloomington, Indiana & Indianapolis.

We will see how far north the surface warm front gets, it is close with 50s & 60s.