January, 2012

Few Showers/T’Storm Tonight, Still Spring-like Wed.-Thu….Some Weekend Wet Snow

January 31st, 2012 at 9:37 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

It was a windy, warm day with wind gusts from the south-southwest as high as 40 mph & temperatures as high as 61 degrees.

Scattered showers & couple isolated t’storms are developing.  These are occurring along & just ahead of a surface cold front.  It does not look like it will get a lot colder behind the front.

The data tonight is definitely warmer for Wednesday & Thursday with highs in the 50s with much less wind & lots of sunshine.

There are two storm systems dropping in the Northwest.  One is in British Columbia/Alberta & the other is off the coast of California, so I am not going to call it an Alberta Clipper any longer.  Both pieces will combine & eventually, a new surface low will be spawned east of Denver.  This will tend to move east-southeastward like a clipper, but have abundant moisture, behaving more like a traditional Colorado low.

This has the potential to bring a significant snow event of 8-14″ of snow from eastern Colorado to Nebraska with perhaps 4-8″ of snow in Iowa.  We will be on the edge of a snow band on the northern fringe of the precipitation associated with the system.  Right now, a band of 3-5″ may still reside Davenport, Iowa to Kankakee, Illinois to Plymouth, Indiana.  The viewing area may see 0.4″ in our south to around 3″ in our far north.

Another note is that part of the precipitation will be rain in the southern half of the viewing area.

Timing is still generally Friday night-Saturday.

It looks quite windy with the system with gusts of 35 mph to perhaps 40 mph, but the snow looks quite wet & slushy.

Isolated T’Storm or Two Possible In the Showers Tonight

January 31st, 2012 at 5:47 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Some scattered showers are & will continue to bubble up along & just ahead of a surface cold front approaching from Illinois.  Some elevated instability may promote a few isolated t’storms as it feeds northward & flows over the top of more stable air towards the ground.


Warm, Windy, Spring-like Day

January 31st, 2012 at 3:40 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Temperatures are climbing to 60 in many areas as of 3:20 p.m.  As I type this, I notice the Attica, Covington & Perrysville sensors have just hit 61.

Windy, Warm Day with Some Scattered Showers & Isolated T’Storms Tonight

January 31st, 2012 at 2:00 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Where more sun is coming out, stronger winds are mixing down, hence the variance of gusts from 27 to 40 mph today.

Temperatures are as high as 59 as of 2:16 p.m. in the viewing area.

Surface cold front off to our west will pop some scattered showers & perhaps an isolated t’storm this evening-tonight.  Rainfall totals will not be a lot with generally near 0.10″ to as much as 0.30″.

Minor snowfall is still a good bet Friday night-Saturday.  There is a bit of uncertainty with the exact timing, but right now, the best estimate is a Friday night-Saturday time frame.  Some models suggest more of a Saturday-Sunday time frame.

Minor accumulation is still possible of 0.4″ in the far south to as much as 3″ or a bit more in the far north.  Up to 8″ may fall in Iowa & Nebraska.

The heaviest totals of 3-5″ will likely occur from near Davenport Iowa, through the Kankakee, Illinois area to near Plymouth, Indiana.  Wheatfield & Demottemay be the snowfall winners with this one with around 3.2″ of snow.

Stay tuned, as any shift in the system could men more or less snow.


Update On Today-Thursday Forecast

January 31st, 2012 at 2:14 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Looking at the latest forecasting information, it looks as if some scattered showers & perhaps an isolated t’storm will pass this evening-tonight, but be out of here by Wednesday morning.  It does not look like a lot of rain, as the showers will be scattered & quick-moving.

This will occur after clouds increase today with strong south-southwest winds of up to 40 mph & highs of 58-63.

Wednesday looks dry & partly cloudy with 48-54 with less wind (up to 20 mph)  Thursday does not look as cool with highs of 46-53 & partly cloudy skies & winds of 10-15 mph.

Two Systems Over the Next 8 Days

January 30th, 2012 at 6:35 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

After a morning low of 22.7 at WLFI, we skyrocketed to 56.3 today with afternoon south-southwest winds gusting over 30 mph at times.

This was the third consecutive windy day (gusts over 30 mph).

There are two systems to watch over the next 8 days.  One is a cold front passing Tuesday night with scattered showers & few t’storms as a chunk of Gulf moisture interacts with the front.

A clipper will interact with Gulf moisture pooling in Texas & surging northward to bring us a bit of snow on the system’s northern edge Friday-Saturday.  It looks minor, in regards to accumulation.


Spring Warmth (Especially Where It Did Not Snow Much at All)

January 30th, 2012 at 3:14 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Where is snowed very little this weekend, temperatures have sky-rocketed to 53-57 & may hit 60 in places today.  Where there was more snow that chilled the ground & where snow is still melting, it is struggling to get to 50, even with the very nice warm air advection (amount & speed of warm air overspreading the cooler air & gradually eroding it away) & strong winds today.

Spotter Recruitment………….Spring & Winter Battle Goes On with More Strong Winds

January 30th, 2012 at 1:56 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

I received an email today regarding the Friday night-Saturday morning snowfall from Tom in Oxford (my response to his email is below his email):

2 inches? We got MAYBE 2 millimeters in Oxford.

Came from NWS Chicago of 2” in Fowler & near Earl Park & the reports were from law enforcement, so I believe.  My Kentland spotter had 1.4”.

I had similar emails to yours back in November when Rochester got 2” & Akron had 9.5” & Peru 10”…………

Oddly, Fort Wayne had 1.1” at the airport & Columbia City area had 6.5”!

This is what happens in HIGHLY-CONVECTIVE snowfall events.  They are like summer t’storms.

Thank you!


I appreciate Tom’s email & he brings up a very, very good point to me.  I really need more snowfall spotters in our counties, especially in these really difficult, highly-convective snowfall events.  Consider this additional snowfall spotting recruitment!  I really want to keep on building on our spotter base here, as you are all key to this weather machine.

I know I may house in western Tippecanoe I had 0.1″, but law enforcement measured 2″ at Fowler & my spotters in Newton & Jasper had 1-2″, but Remington had 0.3″  I went to Indianapolis yesterday & Boone County still had some snow on the ground, but there was nothing on the ground in Clinton County, as there was an extremely sharp cut-off.  Back in November I had 2.6″ at the station & 1.5″ at my home in western Tippecanoe County.

Getting snowfall totals from your town really help me make snowfall maps to put on-line & to study for future events.  So, any of you that can send snowfall totals from every single town in the viewing area is greatly appreciated!

Thank you everyone for you comments & questions & I will always respond as best I can when I can!


Spring is back!  After 40s & 50s today we will be well into the 50s, perhaps lower 60s in places tomorrow.  Showers & some t’storms are possible very late tomorrow to perhaps part of Wednesday as a cold front passes.  A chunk of moisture from the Gulf will help form a wave of showers & few t’storms for us.

Our spring burst will continue, while more storms hammer the Pacific Northwest with more avalanches expected from Oregon to Alaska.  That entire area, specifically in Alaska, will continue to get hit with major snowfall, while California will bask in Santa Anas, 80s & unusually dry weather.

Colder weather will rush in late week with highs back to the 20s & 30s briefly.  A clipper in the northwest will combine with pooling moisture from the Gulf in Texas.

Some minor snowfall is still possible Friday-Saturday.  Right now it doesn’t look big by any means.  We will watch it, as there are over 150,000 people converging on the Indianapolis area Super Bowl weekend. Super Bowl Sunday looks good with sunshine & highs in the 20s & 30s.

It still looks like a few minor snows of 1-4″ up to February 15 with nothing significant.  Brief, sharp cold snaps will be sandwiched between brief, substantial warm periods of 50s & perhaps 60s.


More Windy, Spring Weather to Return This Week

January 29th, 2012 at 8:21 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Highs in the 50s, to even lower 60s are likely early to mid week with increasing potential of showers & t’storms (even Monday will be near 44 over any lingering snow pack & near 50 in areas without it).  It appears severe t’storms are possible in the Mid-Mississippi & Lower Ohio Valleys & the Mid & Deep South Wednesday-Thursday.  However, it currently looks as if any severe threat will stay to our south, but it will be monitored.  Every day looks windy with gusts of 40 to even 45 mph are likely on numerous days.

Winter will return late, late week-next weekend, albeit briefly.  Minor accumulating snowfall is possible Friday-Saturday with much colder highs in the 20s & 30s.

Right now, Super Bowl Sunday looks partly cloudy & cool with highs in the 30s.  The snowfall will have exited by Saturday night, so Sunday looks good.

Brief Burst of Snow……..Strong Winds Today

January 29th, 2012 at 11:42 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

I received more final snowfall reports in my inbox from yesterday.  Oddly, Benton County picked up 2″ of snow Saturday morning, but I only had 0.1″ at my house in western Tippecanoe County.  It was a highly-convective snowfall event with some places getting lots & others very little.  From northern Miami to Whitley County, 4-7″ fell.  Those are nightmares to forecast.

Gusty Alberta Clipper is pivoting through with a brief burst of snow this morning. I had a trace in West Lafayette as it passed, but up to 0.5″ may accumulate in places east & northeast of Lafayette.  A band of moderate snow is moving through Howard & Miami counties with visibility down to 0.75 mile in places.  Visibility was 1.25 miles at the Howard County Airport (northeast of Kokomo) with snow at 11:35 a.m.

Some heavier snow showers are pivoting through Pulaski, towards Fulton & Cass right now with visibility likely down to 1 mile briefly.

This clipper will exit & some sun will appear today.  Gusty winds will gust to 40, perhaps even +40 mph at times with steady winds at 18-25 mph.