Tracking Clipper

January 26th, 2015 at 5:20 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Clipper is moving in & light snow will continue to overspread area this evening with 1″ or less.

Part of it is evaporating  before it hits the ground at the moment, but it is reaching the ground with westward progression.

It is this clipper that will gell with Nor’Easter to really cause it to blow up into the historic blizzard.

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Coldest Day Since January 14……..Clipper with Some Snow Moving In

January 26th, 2015 at 2:59 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Snowfall varied from trace to 4.2″ in the, per COOP, CoCo, WLFI spotter reports.  The widespread 4-6″ amounts fell from far eastern Indiana, through Ohio.

Looks like system had a bit of a jog more easterly, which cut totals in our northwest/northern counties, as well as our southwestern counties.

Snowfall totals from yesterday-last night:

DMA Map I

With a high today of just 26, so far, it is the coldest day since January 14, when the high was 15.

Clipper is moving in.  Snow is evaporating before it hits the ground on the leading edge, but once it does reach the ground, snow should with with us into the evening, before tapering tonight.  However, it think some scattered flurries will still be possible tonight-tomorrow.

Totals accumulations of 1″ or less are likely.

 


New Post Soon

January 26th, 2015 at 1:28 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

I will have snowfall total map from yesterday-last night up soon.

Clipper will pass this evening-tonight & bring wave of snow for late this afternoon-evening rush to part of the overnight.  1″ or less is likely.

Wednesday night-Thursday’s clipper will bring rain/snow, but only little accumulation, it appears.

Around February 1 is a system to watch with accumulating snowfall potential.

 


Snowfall Update/Totals…….Historic Blizzard for Northeast

January 25th, 2015 at 5:00 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Will be infrequently on……..daughter’s sick…….may have new update late tonight or tomorrow morning.

Here, snow will gradually end this evening-tonight, but strong winds will cause blowing & drifting.  Dropping temperatures will continue to create freezing roads & worsening driving conditions.

Heavier snowfall is currently found from Carroll to Miami counties.

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Totals received as of 5 p.m.:

DMA Map III

Weak clipper Tuesday may bring 1″ or less of snowfall.

Clipper will bring rain/snow perhaps Wednesday-Thursday.

The next one to watch would be a southern system near February 1.  It is way out, but analog data/trends suggest snow for us near that time from it.

We will monitor.

Historic Nor’easter may bring up to 40″ for parts of the Northeast & wind gusts up to 70 mph.

This is looking like a pretty major, devastating Nor’Easter.  Entire area from New Jersey to Maine will be shut down for a couple of days & much longer in more outlying areas.

Hurricane Force Wind Warning is in effect for parts of the Northeast coast.

 

 

 


Clipper Here…Another Nor’Easter with Blizzard Watch On East Coast

January 25th, 2015 at 2:24 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Clipper continues to move through area with wind gradually increasing.  I measured 0.5″ at West Lafayette as of 2:20 p.m.  100% snow began at 1 p.m. after rain/snow near noon-1 p.m.

I have received reports of 1-1.5″ north of Frankfort.

Moderate to heavy snow is falling Clinton & White County eastward with intense banding.

Map below is snowfall by early Monday morning.

Blizzard Watch for East Coast as clipper gells with southern disturbance & blows up into Nor’Easter!

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Snowfall Information

January 24th, 2015 at 9:38 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

It was a mild, breezy to windy day with sun mixed with clouds.

DMA Map i

Rain will move in Sunday morning, but this will change to snow from north to south through the day.

By 1 p.m., current data suggests it will be all snow along & north of U.S. 24.

By 3 p.m., trends suggest all snow area-wide, except for areas south of I-74.

By 5 p.m. looks like all snow area-wide with it winding completely down by midnight.

Strong winds with gusts of 35-40 mph will blow & drift the snow tomorrow evening-night with gusts of 25 mph during the day.  Winds will tend to be southwest/west early in the day, then go northwest.

Only change to forecast is a shift of 4-6″ band south & a trim to its back edge.

DMA Map IIII

 

 

 


Strong Winds with Blowing/Drifting Snow & Wind Chills Below 0 Sun. Night

January 24th, 2015 at 3:15 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Still looks as if rain & rain/snow Sunday morning will increase & go to all snow from north to south Sunday afternoon-evening as temperatures fall.

West, then northwest Winds will be brisk at 15-25 mph, but the strong winds will arrive Sunday evening-night with sustained winds near 25 mph with gusts of 35-40 mph.

This will lead to blowing & drifting snow & tough travel conditions.

With lows in the mid to upper teens, wind chills will drop below zero.

DMA Map II


Latest Update On Sunday-Monday Morning Rain/Snow to All Snow Event

January 24th, 2015 at 10:00 am by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Latest data show rain showers moving in mid-morning with rain/snow in the north.

Change to all snow should work southeastward with time with the line along 18 by early afternoon as temperatures fall.

Should be all snow for everyone by 6 p.m.

Should be in heaviest snow Sunday evening, as a general rule for viewing area as a whole.

Looks like snow will exit area by 2 a.m. early Monday morning.

Small tweaks are still possible with this very tedious forecast.  Any slight wobble will shift banding & thus snowfall totals.

Winds will run 15-30 mph Sunday & 20-35 mph Sunday night, so drifting snow will be an issue.  Since the snow is wetter than previous snows, it will not be as light & fluffy to easily blow.  Regardless, west to northwest winds will causes the snow to blow over roads.

DMA Map II


The Great Blizzard of 1873…….Latest Sunday-Monday A.M. Snowfall Forecast

January 23rd, 2015 at 10:22 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

The more I study this storm, the more I put it on the same level as the great Blizzard of ’78, Blizzard of 1918 & New Year’s Eve 1863-New Year’s Day 1864 blizzard.

These are the outstanding storms for our area since 1860 in regards to snowfall rate, snow depth, wind, visibility, extreme cold & all-out true blizzard conditions.  All buried structures due to extreme wind with the heavy snow & all had extreme cold during & following storm.

It was one of the heaviest snowfalls ever recorded in Lafayette & in the viewing area as a whole.  This blizzard occurred just 3 weeks after “The Great Blizzard” in the Plains from Kansas to Minnesota with extreme wind & snowfall with that area of the country paralyzed for weeks.  It was a great hardship for early Plains pioneers.   Then, the Great Easter Sunday Blizzard struck the Plains in the spring that dealt a blow to the Plains not seen until the rough winter of 1883-84 & 1884-85.

Here, it was the wind made it a blizzard & was the worst snow storm since the legendary New Years Eve-Day storm of 1863-64.

Interestingly, 1864, 1867, 1873 all featured, historic snow storms in the area.  Per data, 1864 & 1873 appear to reach true blizzard thresholds.

15.0″ of snow fell on Lafayette in the 1873 blizzard with drifts 4′ deep in town & over 6′ deep in the countryside.  There was already 3″ on the ground before this storm even began.

24″ was reported on the ground after the storm at Terre Haute with trains buried in snow.  This was reported to be the deepest snow that any of  the oldest inhabitants had seen……these were the early settlers of the Terre Haute area that were then in their 80s & 90s.

The entire region was shut down.  A train became stuck in the snow at Templeton.  A train with 4 locomotives blew a cylinder on one, owing to the extreme power needed to plow through the very deep snow.

Trains finally completely ceased plowing tracks in the storm due to lack of any futile effort it made in the storm.

Surface low moved from southern Texas to Arkansas to southern Illinois to near Indianapolis.  There, it strengthened tremendously & resulted in a complete white-out here with howling winds & rapidly falling barometer.  Storm then raced to near Fort Wayne.  Arctic high over the Dakotas sharpened the already tight pressure gradient of the low, resulting in one of the great blizzards in our weather history.

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Latest snowfall information is below for Sunday-Monday a.m.

Again, it may begin as rain & rain/snow before going to all snow.  Gusts to 35 mph Sunday night-Monday will cause even this wetter snowfall to blow & drift.

Stay tuned as we monitor & fine-tune this forecast.  We will watch to see if the heavier bands shift any to the southwest or snow shifts any to the northeast.

Spurt of cold with highs in the 20s will get us Monday-Tuesday (lows in the 10-16 range).

Snow is also possible mid-week before rain/snow mix occurs late week before very cold weather moves in & lays foundation for potential winter storm near February 1.

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Snowfall Forecast for Sunday-Monday Morning

January 23rd, 2015 at 5:48 pm by under Chad's WLFI Weather Blog

Rain/snow should go to all snow with time later Sunday & end by Monday morning.

Winds will be gusty Sunday to 30 mph & to 35 mph Sunday night-Monday morning.

The snow will be wet & gloppy, but such wind should still drift the snow some.

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